DAILY STOCK MARKET FORECAST

Stocks trend off the lows to end mixed in trade Friday: |  Stocks moved up early Friday but settled back near the flat line, hovering just in positive territory at the midmorning session-  Dow Industrial average drops sharply [on trade concerns with China] in the late morning session taking the broader market with it;  major indexes slowly trended up back into positive territory in late afternoon trade, bouncing around the unchanged line to end flat and mixed on the day;  the Iranian hostage taking situation still upfront in focus for the weekend-  investors were not likely to make big bets [either way] going into the weekend. The DJIA closed up slightly by 0.1 percent, the S&P 500 ended slightly off by 0.1 percent, and the NASDAQ was up 0.2 percent.  |   The forecast reads CAUTION with a NEUTRAL forecast-bias.   Friday, March 30, 2007,  5:57  P.M. Eastern

Friday stock market open: |  Look for a neutral-to-positive open.   Economy, Iran/ oil in focus for the start.   Friday, March 30, 2007,  9:24  A.M. Eastern

U.S. equities end positive on GDP data Wednesday: |  Stocks opened positive Thursday on economical data but turned mixed in mid session and turned around to close up with tech shares flat;   a Government report today-  final results GDP for the fourth quarter 2006-  showed the economy grew by 2.5 percent on inventory buildup;   another Government report showed last weeks initial jobless claims-  unemployment insurance-  dropped by 10,000;   price of oil continues higher on [Iranian] concerns over hostage taking of British military personnel- price past $66 bbl.   Thursday, March 29, 2007,  6:03  P.M. Eastern

Thursday stock market open: |  Look for a positive open.   GDP and unemployment data in focus for the start.   Thursday, March 29, 2007,  9:26  A.M. Eastern

Wednesday stock market open: |  Look for a neutral-to-negative open.   Economical concerns in focus for the start as well as Iran tensions and oil prices.   Wednesday, March 28, 2007,  9:26  A.M. Eastern

Stocks continue declining on more economic concerns: |  Stock decline Tuesday on continued stress from the financials-  mortgage- housing- subprime-  sector;   the DJIA, S&P 500, and the NASDAQ declined by greater than 1/2 percent on Tuesday;  |   The forecast reads CAUTION with a NEUTRAL forecast-bias.   Tuesday, March 27, 2007,  6:04  P.M. Eastern- changed, 3-28-2007 1:57 am ET

Tuesday stock market open: |  Look for a neutral-to-negative open.   Housing subprime market in focus for the start.   Tuesday, March 27, 2007,  9:25  A.M. Eastern

Buyers overcome early loss Monday: |  U.S. stock market comes back from early negative trend on Monday to close mixed with the DJIA closing slightly off by 0.1 percent, the S&P 500 was slightly higher by 0.1 percent, and the NASDAQ was up by 0.3 percent.  |   The forecast reads CAUTION with a POSITIVE forecast-bias.   Monday, March 26, 2007,  5:46  P.M. Eastern

Monday stock market open: |  Look for a neutral flat open. Could turn mixed.   Economy in focus for the start.   Monday, March 26, 2007,  9:23  A.M. Eastern

Friday stock market open: |  Look for a neutral flat open. Could turn mixed.   Friday, March 23, 2007,  9:26  A.M. Eastern

Close data for Thursday: |  Dow Jones Ind. average, 12,461.14, +13.62, + 0.11% - S&P 500, 1,434.54, -0.50, -0.03 - NASDAQ, 2,451.74, -4.18, -0.17.  |   The forecast now reads CAUTION with a POSITIVE forecast-bias.   Thursday, March 22, 2007,  6:04  P.M. Eastern

Thursdays stock market open: |  Look for a neutral-to-positive open.   Fed and earnings in focus for the start.   Thursday, March 22, 2007,  9:24  A.M. Eastern

Fed causes stocks to ramp higher Wednesday: |  Stocks meandered early Wednesday while investors and traders awaited the Federal Reserve FOMC to decide on interest rates. As expected, the Fed kept rates on hold at 5-1/4 percent but changed-up the accompanying statement that the FOMC issues explaining where they are on monetary policy. Marketers got somewhat of a surprise with the Fed saying inflation may be pressured in later months and that the economy is seen as continuing to expand. Stocks ramped higher in late trade to close with 1 to 2 percent gain on the day.  |   The forecast-bias was changed to positive yesterday evening as model data indicated a buying habit change. The forecast now reads CAUTION with a POSITIVE forecast-bias.   Wednesday, March 21, 2007,  6:01  P.M. Eastern

Wednesday stock market open: |  Look for a neutral-to-mixed open.   Fed FOMC in focus for the start.   Wednesday, March 21, 2007,  9:20  A.M. Eastern

Forecast-bias upgraded to positive: |  Evening model run indicates a positive change in investors and traders buying habits. The Fed could upset things, Wednesday afternoon, when they issue their rate-hike announcement. Investors want to hear something that is conducive to keeping this bull market alive- marketers are looking for a reduction in rates [Fed target] sometime midyear.  |   The forecast-bias was changed to positive making the forecast now read CAUTION with a POSITIVE forecast-bias going into Wednesdays open.   Wednesday, March 21, 2007,  12:15  A.M. Eastern

Stocks surge day-two ahead of the Fed: |  Stocks up again, making it a nice two-day pre Fed gain. Today investors got a glimmer of economical hope with home starts data showing a rebound, bringing hopes up that the economy is not worsening. The Dow Jones average closed up 1/2 percent;   the S&P 500 and NASDAQ both closing up by 0.6 percent. What could help tomorrows trade is Oracle quarterly report showing rising profit which sent shares higher in the after market. |   The forecast-bias was changed to neutral yesterday evening making the forecast read;  the Market-Barometer™ stock market forecast models now indicate CAUTION with a neutral forecast-bias..   Tuesday, March 20, 2007,  5:56  P.M. Eastern

Tuesday stock market open: |  Look for a neutral, flat open.   Fed meeting in focus for the start.   Tuesday, March 20, 2007,  9:23  A.M. Eastern

Forecast-bias changed this evening: |  The forecast-bias was changed during the evening model run and now reads CAUTION with a neutral forecast-bias.   Monday, March 19, 2007,  10:12  P.M. Eastern

Stocks rocket higher ahead of the FOMC: |  Investors buy stocks in a big way Monday ahead of the Federal Reserve FOMC meeting where it is expected the Fed will hold interest rates steady but could change-up the verbiage in the rate-announcement on monetary policy;   no change in policy is expected, though. Sparking buyers were the M&A activity [TakeTwo sale  -  Clayton/ ServiceMaster  -  Barclays/ ABN Amro]  |   The DJIA rose 1-percent, the S&P 500 rose 0.9 percent, and the NASDAQ rose 1.1 percent.  |   The Market-Barometer™ stock market forecast models continue to indicate CAUTION with a negative forecast-bias..   Monday, March 19, 2007,  6:07  P.M. Eastern

Monday stock market open: |  Look for a neutral-to-positive open.   Fed and earnings/ outlook in focus for the start.   Monday, March 19, 2007,  9:24  A.M. Eastern

Core inflation rose 0.2 percent in February: |  The index for all items less food and energy (core Consumer Price Index) rose 0.2 percent in February, that followed a 0.3 percent rise in January.  |   Yesterday the Government reported that the Producer Price Index (PPI), for Finished Goods, advanced 1.3 percent in February, that increase followed a 0.6 percent decline in January and a 0.9 percent rise in December.   Friday, March 16, 2007,  11:59  A.M. Eastern

Friday stock market open: |  Look for a neutral-to-mixed open.   Economical data in focus for the start.   Friday, March 16, 2007,  9:24  A.M. Eastern

Thursday stock market open: |  Look for a neutral-to-negative open.   Economical data in focus for the start.   Thursday, March 15, 2007,  9:26  A.M. Eastern

Stocks reverse hold gains Wednesday: |  Investors buy stocks in a most-evident relief from previous sell-offs with the DJIA 1/2 percent gain, the S&P 500 gaining 0.7 percent, and the NASDAQ gaining 0.9 percent. l.  |   The Market-Barometer™ stock market forecast models continue to indicate CAUTION with a negative forecast-bias.   Wednesday, March 14, 2007,  6:10  P.M. Eastern

Wednesday stock market open: |  Look for a neutral flat open. Could turn mixed to positive.   Wednesday, March 14, 2007,  9:25  A.M. Eastern

Stocks are dumped moving 2-percent lower on subprime problems: |  U.S. stocks make major move lower on heavy volume today with continued concern over the subprime mortgage problem with financials taking heavy losses. The Dow Jones average and S&P 500 closed off by 2-percent, the NASDAQ was off by 2.2 percent.  |   Kroger, and Goldman Sachs posts gains that did little to inspire buyers;   Revlon posts loss.  |   The Market-Barometer™ stock market forecast models continue to indicate CAUTION with a negative forecast-bias.   Tuesday, March 13, 2007,  6:01  P.M. Eastern

Tuesday stock market open: |  Look for a negative open.   Subprime problem in focus for the start.   Tuesday, March 13, 2007,  9:22  A.M. Eastern

Stocks rise Monday: |  Broader market rises lead by tech stocks Monday with the Dow Jones Average and S&P 500 up by 0.3 percent;   the tech index NASDAQ was up by 0.6 percent.  |   The Market-Barometer™ stock market forecast models continue to indicate CAUTION with a negative forecast-bias.   Monday, March 12, 2007,  5:49  P.M. Eastern

Monday stock market open: |  Look for a neutral-to-negative open.   Monday, March 12, 2007,  9:24  A.M. Eastern

Stocks meander after wage and jobs data: |  Stocks leave positive territory early Friday after digesting the jobs report released prior to the open. Investors saw jobs creation of 97,000 new jobs as mostly expected but the wage data gave some Fed rate-hike concerns. The DJIA and S&P 500 closed slightly higher by 0.1 percent while the NASDAQ was virtually unchanged.  |   The economy added 97,000 new jobs in February with revisions to prior months;  the unemployment rate is 4.5 percent.   |   The Market-Barometer™ stock market forecast models continue to indicate CAUTION with a negative forecast-bias.   Friday, March 9, 2007,  5:56  P.M. Eastern

Jobs come in slightly higher than expected for February: |  U.S. economy added 97,000 new payroll jobs in February while the unemployment rate dropped to 4.5 percent;  employment declined sharply in construction, manufacturing employment continued to trend downward;  average hourly earnings rose by 6 cents.  |   The Dow, S&P 500, and NASDAQ major indexes were within 0.1 percent of the open at 1100 am ET.   Friday, March 9, 2007,  11:15  A.M. Eastern

Friday stock market open: |  Look for a positive open.   Jobs report in focus for the start.   Friday, March 9, 2007,  9:26  A.M. Eastern

Buyers bid stocks up ahead of major data: |  Stocks rise Thursday ahead of the all important nonfarm payroll creation report tomorrow. Well off the highs of the session, stocks put in a positive day on global optimism with the Dow and NASDAQ closing up by 0.6 percent, and the S&P 500 up by 0.7 percent.   |   The Market-Barometer™ stock market forecast models indicate CAUTION with a negative forecast-bias.   Thursday, March 8, 2007,  6:01  P.M. Eastern

Thursday stock market open: |  Look for a positive open.   Global markets in focus for the start.   Thursday, March 8, 2007,  9:26  A.M. Eastern

Stocks down while oil moves up in trade Wednesday: |  The battle continues with the broader market giving in slightly while the tech heavy NASDAQ moves well into negative territory on Wednesday. Investors likely to hold near current levels while they await more data [nonfarm] tomorrow and Friday. The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 0.1 percent, the S&P 500 lost 0.3  percent, and the NASDAQ lost 0.4 percent.  |   The Market-Barometer™ stock market forecast models indicate CAUTION with a negative forecast-bias.   Wednesday, March 7, 2007,  5:52  P.M. Eastern

Wednesday stock market open: |  Look for a neutral-to-negative open. Could turn mixed.   Wednesday, March 7, 2007,  9:26  A.M. Eastern

Tech shares ramp higher leading the broader market: |  U.S. stock market-  spurred on by the global markets-  rallies Tuesday to regain some lost ground of the past several weeks of down movement. Buyers overcome productivity and wage data and ramp stocks higher in an effort to keep on track with the global markets that seems to be recovering. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 1.3 percent, the S&P 500 gained 1.6 percent, and the NASDAQ gained nearly 2-percent.  |   The Market-Barometer™ stock market forecast models indicate CAUTION with a negative forecast-bias.   Tuesday, March 6, 2007,  6:09  P.M. Eastern

Productivity grows by 1.6 percent: |  Annual rates of nonfarm productivity, as measured by the output per hour of persons in the U.S., was 1.6 percent for both the fourth-quarter and for 2005-2006, according to the Department of Labor today.   Tuesday, March 6, 2007,  12:01  P.M. Eastern

Tuesday stock market open: |  Look for a positive open.   Global markets in focus for the start.   Tuesday, March 6, 2007,  9:26  A.M. Eastern

Volatile day for stocks on U.S. exchanges: |  At the opening of trade today, the stock market major indexes moved well into negative territory and then rebounded moving into positive territory only to trend, stair stepping, lower to end the lows of the day. The DJIA lost 1/2 percent, the S&P 500 lost 0.9 percent, and the NASDAQ lost 1.2 percent;   AMD issues quarterly warning;   Asian stocks continue losses.  |   The Market-Barometer™ stock market forecast models indicate CAUTION with a negative forecast-bias..   Monday, March 5, 2007,  6:08  P.M. Eastern

Monday stock market open: |  Look for a neutral-to-negative open.   Monday, March 5, 2007,  9:26  A.M. Eastern

Sellers in control of U.S. equity market: |  [no extract available]. The DJIA and S&P 500 lost 1-percent, the NASDAQ lost 1.5-percent.  |   The midday model-run changed the forecast-bias to negative on what now is considered a sentiment change that could take stocks much lower..  The Market-Barometer™ stock market forecast models indicate CAUTION with a negative forecast-bias.  |   UPS seen as canceling A380 order;   News of stock market insider arrests made.  Friday, March 2, 2007,  6:04  P.M. Eastern

Friday stock market open: |  Look for a neutral-to-negative open.   Earnings/ outlook in focus for the start..   Friday, March 2, 2007,  9:26  A.M. Eastern

Equity market nearly makes it back from opening plunge: |  The major market indexes bounce back from an early open drop of 200 points Thursday, by afternoon had made it back to the unchanged-line only to fall back slightly in the last hour of trade to close in negative territory. The Dow and S&P 500 lost 0.3 percent, the NASDAQ lost 1/2 percent.  |   The Market-Barometer™ stock market forecast models continues to indicate CAUTION with a neutral forecast-bias.   Thursday, March 1, 2007,  5:41  P.M. Eastern

Thursday stock market open: |  Look for a negative open. Watch for sell off.   Thursday, March 1, 2007,  9:26  A.M. Eastern