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STOCK MARKET REPORT AND MARKET SUMMARY (Archives)- Can be used for research, analysis, history and education. Go to current stock market report and market summarystock market report - stock market history - market overview - latest market report - stock market summaryCurrent ARCHIVES
Stocks Rally With Europe On The Backburner And Earnings On Deck With Europe debt issues on the backburner, its on to earnings with Alcoa up tomorrow... Alcoa's forecast will be as important as how they did in the quarter... 3:44p Stocks Set For Positive Start On Less Worry Over Europe Look for a positive open Monday. Less worry over Europe as the focus turns to earnings/ guidance. Monday, October 10, 2011, 9:01 A.M. Eastern
Stocks Pop Up In Last Half Hour Of Trade What looks like consolidation after the three day rally sees the major indexes trying to post a gain Friday but failed, closing just short of the unchanged line; tech closed one percent lower... 4:02p Jobs, Jobs, Jobs Has Pre Market Positive Look for a neutral-to-positive open Friday. Nonfarm payroll jobs creation comes in well above estimates and upbeat revisions has the pre market futures spiking. Next hurdle is earnings/ guidance next week. Friday, October 7, 2011, 9:12 A.M. Eastern
Rally Continues On Less Worry Over Europe Stocks continue to rally for a third day as Europe worries are being replaced by anticipated good earnings, as consumers continue to spend. 3:21p Global Markets Are Mostly Positive While U.S. Is Set For A Flat Open Look for a neutral flat open; could turn mixed. Little negative Europe debt crises news; traders await Fridays payroll report; most news outlets reporting Steve Jobs death and remembrance. Earnings/ guidance season is around the corner as markets prepare for mostly good reports. New unemployment claims jump to 401,000- chart... Thursday, October 6, 2011, 9:15 A.M. Eastern
After The Bear Dip And Rally Yesterday, Stocks Ramp Up Into Wednesday's Close No real news other than an encouraging ADP report this morning... Stocks rally higher Wednesday as traders looking to jobs data and some good news... 3:44p Global Markets Rally Setting Stage For Possible Continuation In U.S. Market Look for a neutral-to-mixed open Wednesday. U.S. stocks surge at the close yesterday, helping global markets to rally overnight. U.S. stocks could open mixed with mixed trading for the session. Earnings/ guidance in focus for next week. Wednesday, October 5, 2011, 9:11 A.M. Eastern
U.S. Stocks Make A Comeback Late In Tuesdays Session Tech stocks lead the market in a late day comeback... Bernanke on the Hill but doesn't offer any help, just advise... 4:01p More Pain Out There As Stocks Could Tumble Look for a negative open Tuesday. Europe and Greece continue to be the storyline; how that could effect the worldwide economy... Tuesday, October 4, 2011, 9:13 A.M. Eastern
Same Old Story- Greece Fear Send Stocks Lower Nothing has changed except the month. U.S. stocks move lower Monday along with global Markets... 3:03p Greece News Continues To Drive Markets Look for a neutral-to-negative open Monday. EU and the continuing Greece story has Wall Streets total attention as U.S. stocks are set for a lower open Monday... Monday, October 3, 2011, 9:11 A.M. Eastern
Traders Wash Their Hands Of The Third Quarter Fear of Greece and the rest of the EU is to much for traders to overcome, as they sell into the close of the quarter. What could have turned out as an ok day, is slammed by continuing fear of a global recession and major debt issues with the EU... 2:54p Not A Good Start For Stocks On Last Day Of The Quarter Look for a negative open for the last day of the quarter. Europe again is the main focus of the market as global stock markets continue moving lower. It was expected that U.S. traders will try to boost profits today, so we could see a sell off with a bounce back this afternoon. Friday, September 30, 2011, 9:13:00.0 A.M. Eastern
Data Not Enough For Tech Stocks; Broader Market Advances Much improved jobless data and GDP cant keep traders in tech stocks... Tech stock give-up rally adding onto yesterdays loss... Broader market makes recovery in late afternoon trade... 4:55p Data Improves Sending Pre Market Futures Higher Look for a positive open for Thursday. GDP and jobless claims data improves sending already higher futures even higher, indicating a good start... Thursday, September 29, 2011, 9:06 A.M. Eastern
Three Day Rally On Hold As Equities On A Hiatus Buyers to the sidelines as the three day rally takes a break and possibly consolidates for the push to quarters-end... Think we've seen volatility? Hold on, we have a slew of data tomorrow and Friday... 10:20p Steps To Fix Debt Crises In Europe Sees Positive Start For Stocks Look for a neutral-to-positive open for Wednesday. According to reports, it appears the EU is taking corrective steps in the debt crises. U.S. markets look to open on a positive note... Wednesday, September 28, 2011, 9:15 A.M. Eastern
Very Positive Session But Losing Ground Fast Going To The Close Stocks did well today on hope that Europe has its debt act together but traders are not convinced as the rally gains are well off the high of the session... 3:45p Global Rally Spurs U.S. Futures To Start Markets Higher Look for a positive open Tuesday. EU debt plan appears to be gaining momentum, global stock markets rally on news. Earnings/ guidance is up next, could add more volatility to the mix. Tuesday, September 27, 2011, 9:09 A.M. Eastern
Stocks Ramp Up On Hope That EU Is Close To A Fix Stocks rally Monday on the possibility that the EU is close to a Greece fix... 3:47p U.S. Stock Market Set For A Positive Start Look for a neutral-to-positive open Monday. Debt crises in Europe continues to be a focus as does U.S. economic recovery. Earnings/ guidance is around the corner which could add to the volatility. Monday, September 26, 2011, 9:17 A.M. Eastern
Choppy Session As Finance Ministers Meet This Weekend Choppy all day but turned positive going into the last half-hour of trade Friday. Hopes are guarded that the the finance ministers can ease the markets when it comes to the EU and Greece default. Most traders and investors believe a default is imminent. But nevertheless hope is still out there. 3:38p Downside Risk Is High As Nothing New, Begets Look for a neutral-to-negative open Friday. Not to say that we cant reverse direction today, but there is nothing good coming from Washington and still bad news out of the EU, kind of dictates our direction today. Earnings season still weeks away with major jobs data looming that is expected to depress. Friday, September 23, 2011, 9:16:00.0 A.M. Eastern- corrected 9-25-11, 9:00p
Traders And Investors Head For The Exit As Capitulation Begins Markets around the globe sell off as all hope appears to be lost. What the market needs is to throw out the old, bring in the new, the old trusted capitulation... 2:55p World Markets In Big Sell Off In Everything Except The Dollar Look for a negative start Thursday. Fed statement about elevated concerns over the recovery set the tone for global downturn in markets overnight. Almost everything is looking or is lower except the Dollar this morning. A new leg down for the U.S. stock market started yesterday. Jobless new claims, reported down slightly, won't have an affect over the markets today. Thursday, September 22, 2011, 9:13 A.M. Eastern- updated 10:16a
Operation Twist Is On, Markets Look For QE3 As Stocks Slip Stocks move lower after Fed announces Operation Twist... Fed statement indicates growing concern over the recovery... Moody's take banks down a notch... Real reaction to Fed's move could come tomorrow... 3:31p Flat Start Seen Wednesday Ahead Of Fed Action Look for a neutral flat open Wednesday. Fed's FOMC concludes a two day meeting with what investors hope is a stimulus announcement. Most likely QE3 in the form of Operation Twist and possible other policy changes... Wednesday, September 21, 2011, 9:11 A.M. Eastern
Market Slips Ahead Of The Expected Operation Twist By The Fed Tomorrow Stocks slip into negative territory Tuesday as traders prepare for the Fed Wednesday and the expected Operation Twist... 3:48p Markets Positive Open Seen Shrugging Off Italy And Data Look for a neutral-to-positive open Tuesday. Italy's credit downgrade, housing starts & permits, and FOMC meeting starts today is in focus for the start. Tuesday, September 20, 2011, 9:15:00.0 A.M. Eastern
Greece Worry Still Gets Blame For Volatile Stock Market Stocks do fall Monday but trading range is more likely than the same old EU Greece debt news... With S&P downgrade of Italy and S&P 500 trading at high end of range, could be in for rough market Tuesday... 10:24p Top Of Range Sell Off Set For Monday Look for a negative open. S&P 500 index at the top of a trading range. Time to sell as Europe Greece gets blamed for just a trading range, sideways moving market. Really nothing new except gibber over the Greece default. We can look for more up and down market action until something- like Bernanke- gets the market really going one-way or the other. Monday, September 19, 2011, 9:15 A.M. Eastern
U.S. Equity Market Made Five Positive Days In A Row On Europe Hope Europe Greece still an iffy deal. Stocks struggled, somewhat Friday, to hold positive for the close. But buyers came in pumped the major indexes higher for a nice weekly gain. Bernanke is ahead next week as all eyes will be on the Fed. 4:36p Markets In The U.S. Set To Open Flat And Mixed Look for a neutral-to-mixed open for Friday. Europe Greece dominates the news as traders gear up for the Fed next week and then onto earnings. Friday, September 16, 2011, 9:14:00.0 A.M. Eastern
U.S. Stocks Continue To Churn Higher- Fourth Day Rally continues but off the high of the session. Europe news dominates while economical data has been set aside. S&P 500 north of 1200 as traders watch the close... 3:30p Markets Add Day Four To Rally After Data And Greece News Look for a neutral-to-positive open for Thursday. Greece still primary concern, but waning, while jobless claims and consumer prices is in focus for the open as well as gold prices slump below the $1,800 level. Futures pop higher just prior to open on Europe liquidity news. Stock market positive nearing midday even though jobs market hurts... Thursday, September 15, 2011, 9:15 A.M. Eastern- updated 11:13 am Eastern
Greece Default Fear Subsides Sending U.S. Stocks To Rally Rally Wednesday as markets are treated to better European news that Greece may get bailed out of default... Stocks end positive but well off session highs... 3:24p Stocks Set For Positive Open Amid Null Data Look for a neutral-to-positive open Wednesday. Retail sales and manufacturing prices is in focus for the start as well as China reportedly to buy Europe bonds to help ailing economies... Wednesday, September 14, 2011, 9:15 A.M. Eastern
Stocks Look To Make It Two In A Row With Tech Leading The Way Choppy session but mixed news has a positive affect, sending stocks stair stepping higher with tech leading. The stock market acting reasonable in tough times but major data coming out with PPI tomorrow and CPI Thursday. 4:52p Tuesdays Stock Market Open Looks Flat On Europe News Look for a neutral-to-mixed open Tuesday. What else! Europe news and the U.S. economy is in focus for the start. Tuesday, September 13, 2011, 9:15 A.M. Eastern
Looking For A Positive Close As Markets Shrug Off Europe Crises Dow Jones index sharply turned around, Monday, closing positive as Europe credit crisis and bank stability deepens with fear of a Greece default. Last hour turnaround saw stocks trend up closing positive... 4:54p U.S. Stock Market Set For Negative Start On Global Sell Off Look for a negative open Monday. Global sell off as Greece default fear shakes world markets. European debt crises continues to shape U.S. trading strategy... Monday, September 12, 2011, 9:13 A.M. Eastern- updated 9:22 am Eastern
It's All About Europe As Stocks Fall On Fear Of Default More talk of Greece default get traders to sell off U.S. stocks all the while the G7 meets over the weekend to strategize... 3:43p Negative Start As Markets Now Look To Bernanke Look for a neutral-to negative open Friday. Presidents 450 billion jobs package sounds like something worth fighting over, as round n of the Governments internal battling to continue. Last hope for markets will be Bernanke and crew to probably implement Operation Twist. The chance of getting anything done in Washington looks bleak. Friday, September 9, 2011, 9:15 A.M. Eastern- updated 9:40:00.0 am Eastern
U.S. Stock Market Moves Lower After Two Of Three No not Borg. Economic speeches from Europe to the U.S.. Stock market indexes move lower on nothing new from Fed Chief Bernanke, as most had expected. Markets not feeling well at all on the Presidents address to the joint session tonight... 3:38p Jobless Initial Claims Disappointment Spurs Negative Ness Look for a neutral-to-negative open Thursday. New jobless claims set negative tone Thursday as all ears are set for Bernanke and Obama. Bernanke is not expected to reveal any policy change but Obama is expected to unveil jobs/ economy stimulus and try to get a bipartisan response to the economic crisis. Thursday, September 8, 2011, 9:18 A.M. Eastern
Stocks Rally On European Debt News And Ahead Of The Presidents Jobs/ Economy Speech Tomorrow After three negative sessions, stocks rebound on headlines from Europe on debt deal and in advance of the Presidents jobs speech tomorrow... 3:23p Stocks Are Set For A Pop Wednesday As Volatility Continues Look for a neutral-to-positive open Wednesday. Headline chasing continues as does the volatility. No real different news, just on again off again news from Europe as traders continue pushing the markets. Wednesday, September 7, 2011, 9:12 A.M. Eastern
Overseas Markets Take Toll On U.S. Stocks; Tomorrow Is Another Day Turmoil in Europe markets and a two day head start on our markets, as Monday holiday take toll on U.S. market. After initial slide of stocks this morning, traders have recovered some lost ground. Wednesday could be a little more positive for stocks. 3:36p Futures Show Sell Off For U.S. Stocks On World Economic Concerns Look for a negative open Tuesday. Europe sell off carries over to U.S. markets as U.S. comes out of a three day holiday weekend. Tuesday, September 6, 2011, 9:13 A.M. Eastern
A SmackDown Dragged-Out Stock Market Gets Hammered On Jobs The Government reported no job creation in August, which set traders to immediately sell stocks. The stock market plunging to the close as traders are now thinking QE3 is out and Operation Twist is in. Operation Twist is where the Fed sells short term dated Treasuries and buys longer term Bonds, flatting out the yield curve... 3:48p Stocks Plummet Early On No Jobs In August While Unemployment-Rate Holds At 9.1 Percent The Governments response, this morning, is more finger pointing. You would think Government could get their act together, for once, and be constructive, not destructive... 10:56a Jobs Created NONE- ZERO- ZILCH, Stock Futures Plummet On No Jobs Look for a negative open Friday. No jobs were created in August; unemployment holds 9.1 percent. Stocks set for rocky day. Friday, September 2, 2011, 9:18 A.M. Eastern
Traders Send Stocks Lower Anticipating Disappointing Jobs Report On deck is the jobs unemployment report that traders are beginning to feel will disappoint. Stocks on the move lower giving back early gains... 3:43p Jobless Claims Drop Slightly, Chart Still Indicates Job Market Problem New claims drop but data chart still shows a troubled jobs market... 9:55a Equities Set For Flat Open As Volatile September Gets Underway Look for a neutral-to-positive open Thursday, could turn mixed. Jobless new claims data and productivity in focus for the start as well as the AT&T M&A deal. Thursday, September 1, 2011, 9:16 A.M. Eastern- updated 9:21a
U.S. Stock Market Posted A Gain Making It Four In A Row With the exception of last Thursdays loss, stocks have been ramping up on growing hope of a QE3 and Washington may be getting their act together, we pray. 4:48p Midday Barometer Model Upgraded The Leading Indicator To Neutral U.S. stock Market is doing very well as traders believe Government could actually do something positive with jobs and the budget. Markets are expecting the Federal Reserve will step-in and make monetary policy change at the September meeting. 12:56p Futures Point To Positive Open Ahead Of Jobs Report Look for a neutral-to-positive open for Wednesday. Jobless new claims tomorrow and the nonfarm jobs report Friday is in focus for the start Wednesday. Wednesday, August 31, 2011, 9:15:00.0 A.M. Eastern
Choppy And Slow As Markets Assimilate Confidence Data And Fed Fed minutes revel a concerned Fed. September extended meeting to discuss further action by the Fed. Consumer confidence drops as no sign that anything will get better anytime soon... 3:30p Stocks Set For Lower Open On Worry Over Growth And Debt Look for a neutral-to-negative open Tuesday. Global growth/ recession worry, consumer confidence, Fed minutes, and traders getting ready for a volatile September. Tuesday, August 30, 2011, 9:14 A.M. Eastern
Models Upgrade Bias As Stocks Surge On Relief Mid afternoon model run upgraded the Bias- short-term forecast to neutral... U.S. stocks ramp up Monday after Jackson Hole and Irene with encouraging EU news but on low volume. Stocks have been depressed for weeks upon weeks. Although last weeks gain and today's surge is a sort of relief rally... 3:24p Consumer Spending And Income Up In July Personal income increased 0.3 percent, while spending jumped 0.8 percent... 9:46a Markets To Open And Set For Near Normal Ops Monday Look for a positive open Monday. Irene cleanup, traders back to work, EU banking news, and consumer spending and income data is in focus for the start. Monday, August 29, 2011, 9:07:00.0 A.M. Eastern
Irene Could Curtail Some Market Operations Monday All eyes are on hurricane Irene as she makes her way up the East Coast... Flooding is expected in and around the New York Stock Exchange... 9:54A Seesaw Session Ends With The Broader Market Up 1-1/2 Percent Up and down day surrounding no action by the Fed, as expected. Stocks off the high and lows, end with Dow up 1.2 percent, tech up 2.5 percent... 4:51p As most of the market expected, nothing new from Fed Chief other than basically what has been already transmitted. Stocks move slightly lower on the non event. 10:43a Second Quarter GDP Revised Lower, Recovery Slows Government released GDP Q2 revision. GDP grew at 1 percent, revised lower from 1.3 percent estimate. Data continues to indicate an increased chance of another recession... 10:12a GDP Sets Negative Tone Ahead Of Jackson Hole Bernanke Speech Look for a neutral-to-negative open Friday. GDP and Jackson Hole Bernanke speech is in focus for the start. Friday, August 26, 2011, 9:17:00.0 A.M. Eastern
Stocks Sell Off As Reality Sets In- No QE3 Tomorrow Although hoped for, reality sets in Thursday, that no QE3 announcement is now expected at tomorrows Jackson Hole meeting... At best Bernanke could underline what has already been revealed... 3:38p Weekly Jobless Initial Claims [Unemployment] Data Problematic Weekly unemployment initial claims data continues to show a problem with creating jobs in the U.S. The initial claims chart shows a slight downturn in the new channel that appears to be developing. Recent unemployment data continues to indicate a slow return to 'normal' employment... 10:01a Futures Indicate Slow Day Ahead Of Tomorrows Jackson Hole Event Look for a neutral-to-positive open Thursday. Bernanke speech tomorrow and jobless initial claims report are in focus for the start as well as media coverage of Apple's- Jobs resignation. Thursday, August 25, 2011, 9:15 A.M. Eastern
Stocks Advance Ahead Of Fridays Jackson Hole Meeting It is widely expected that Fed Chief Bernanke will not announce anything near a QE3 Friday but traders do look for a hint or two on the Feds next move. Stocks add to yesterdays gain as the Dow reports one percent gain with a half-hour to go... 3:33p Stock Futures Spike Higher After Durable Goods Report Look for a neutral to negative open Wednesday. Durable Goods report pulls futures off the lows of the pre market session on better than expected manufacturing orders of long-lasting consumer items. Earthquake in the Virginia-Washington DC area still tops the news as does Libya. Wednesday, August 24, 2011, 9:15 A.M. Eastern- updated 9:19a
Earthquake Hits Virginia, Felt For Hundreds Of Miles, Markets Continue 5.9 earthquake hit Virginia, felt for hundreds of miles but most markets not interrupted. Rally continues after weeks of negative action. With an hour to go the major indexes report 2 to 3 percent gain... 3:00p Weeks Of Gloom Has Traders Looking Higher Tuesday Look for a positive open Tuesday. Gold drops back off of 1900 mark. WTI oil price back into the mid 80's on confusion over oil field resumption in Libya. More housing data on deck as earnings season comes to and end. Tuesday, August 23, 2011, 9:13 A.M. Eastern
On Again Off Again Rally Monday It's hard to say where we go from where we were, because traders having difficult time deciding... Gold though, is not undecided, it continues to climb. Oil prices are up as Libya oil field news is conflicting to when production will resume... 3:29p U.S. Stock Market Rallies On QE3 Hope Look for a positive open Monday on hope that the Fed will hint at QE3 this week. Earnings season slows and very little in economical data this week. Gold still ramping higher. Monday, August 22, 2011, 9:13 A.M. Eastern
No Plan Equals No Confidence As Stocks Sink For A Fourth Straight Week Traders and investors are voting with each share they transact. The tally so far is a no confidence vote. While the Government is on vacation, the economy is sinking further and further into the vast chasm of debt and unreliability. Marketeers know this, that's why they are taking stocks down, globally. Government take note: step one, Government needs to put politics on hold, come up with a confidence builder, a plan. create jobs and do something with housing market... 4:53p Pre Close Model Changed The Forecast Bias To Negative Stocks couldn't hold onto brief up tic early this morning, trended lower ever since. Global recession fear continues to hammer stocks as there seems to be no plan anywhere to get the economies back on track. Global Recession Fear Take Markets Down, Set Futures To Red Look for a negative open Friday. TGIF. Global markets sink on fear that global economies will dip into recession. U.S. futures point to another sell off as cash builds. No economic data this morning and little in way of Earnings/ guidance. Gold prices ramp up again today. Friday, August 19, 2011, 9:08:00 A.M. Eastern- corrected 10:04:00p
Back To Volatility As Stocks Plunge On Global Recovery Fear Economic data isn't favorable, by any stretch, but traders act like its the end of the world taking stocks 4 to 5 percent lower Thursday. Europe stability concerns and growth prospects for the U.S. has beaten stocks down... 3:29p Bad Day At The Office For Traders But Models Hold Onto Neutral Bias Barely holding onto neutral, the models are primed for Bias downgrade Friday if another bad session awaits the markets. Global recession is the talk that has markets spooked and it could take some time for traders to get over that... 10:38a Global Markets Sell Off Translates To Downer Start For U.S. Look for a negative start Thursday. Asian/ European markets, consumer prices, jobless new claims, and earnings/ guidance is in focus for the start as well as gold prices ramping up. Thursday, August 18, 2011, 9:13 A.M. Eastern
Slow Day Markets Come Off Volatility-High Appear To Consolidate It appears we have a consolidation going on after a wild couple of weeks. If a bottom is being founded, consolidation at around this S&P 500 level would make sense... 3:14p Producer Prices Jump 0.4 Percent The producer price index rose 0.2 percent in July. The core index, less the high priced food and energy items, blew by estimates. Core price came in at 0.4 percent, well above estimates... 9:56a Futures Point To Positive Start Look for a neutral-to-positive open Wednesday. PPI inflation data and earnings/ guidance is in focus for the start. Wednesday, August 17, 2011, 9:10 A.M. Eastern- updated 9:19a
Three Day Rally Ends On Europe Economic Concerns Rally comes to an end after S&P 500 upgrade yesterday with nearly all global markets showing losses. Europe economic concerns has U.S. stock market taking another leg down this afternoon with less than an hour of trade left. U.S. banks lead the market lower... 3:16p Stocks Set For Dismal Start On Economic Global Growth Concerns Look for a negative open Tuesday. Europe economy, U.S. economic growth, housing starts, and earnings/ guidance is in focus for the start. Tuesday, August 16, 2011, 9:15 A.M. Eastern
Three Day Rally Put Stocks Back Above S&P 1200 Good vibes from overseas markets and Google deal with Motto unit has traders continuing to move markets higher. 3:24p The Midday Model Run Changed The Forecast Bias To Neutral Stocks advance for a third session with Monday being a more stable non-volatile market. The midday model is changing the Forecast Bias to neutral. 1:20p After A Very Volatile Week, Stocks To Start Positive Monday Look for a neutral-to-positive open. Earnings/ guidance is in focus for the start as well as M&A. Monday, August 15, 2011, 9:15 A.M. Eastern- updated 9:23a
Despite Consumer Confidence, Stocks Quietly Rally A quiet rally Friday as traders show confidence rallying into the weekend. On the other hand, consumer confidence falls while retail sales advances. Headwinds next week could bring back the volatility, but for today stocks steadily climb higher. Retail Sales Set Tone For Positive Start Friday Look for a neutral-to-positive open Friday. Retail sales for July up 1/2 percent. Earnings/ guidance is in focus for the start. Friday, August 12, 2011, 9:02 A.M. Eastern- updated 3:27p
Earnings Matter, Stocks Roar Back, Bull's Take Back Momentum Big rally as Bulls take back momentum sending the major indexes soaring 4-5 percent. Earnings come into play as Cisco finally gets their act together with a decent earnings report and more importantly guidance. Look out Friday, who will take center stage- Bulls or Bears. Cisco Systems Is Back Inspiring The Market Cisco reported earnings yesterday, after the close, and finally removed some of the dark clouds that have gathered over them for the past several quarters. An upbeat CFO inspired Cisco shares and the market, bringing back the old days when earnings drove markets... Unemployment New Claims Show Improvement But Continues To Be Troublesome Although we have had good jobless new claims data for the past couple months, the new claims chart shows a new sideways channel could be developing. That could indicate a sideways moving stock market... Positive Start In U.S., Europe Banks Under Pressure Look for a neutral to positive open Thursday. Earnings/ guidance is in focus for the start as well as European banks under pressure, carries over, somewhat, to U.S. futures. Jobless claims report mute. Thursday, August 11, 2011, 9:13 A.M. Eastern- updated- 10:51a ET- corrected 11:15a- updated 4:02p
Market Sinks Nearly 4-1/2 Percent On EU And U.S. Debt As Well As Bank Concerns Stocks continue selling off as EU concerns build as well as banks taking major losses both in the U.S. and Europe. Models Suggest More Losses To Come- BLI Changed To Negative Market Barometer morning model run changed the BLI to negative. Model data indicates a high degree of probability of further decline for the S&P 500. The market needs to find a bottom and build a foundation. The BLI is a leading indicator for market direction change. More Volatility As Stocks Are Set To Move Lower Look for a negative open Wednesday. Fed statement and economic recovery as well as earnings are in focus for the start. Morning Barometer models to change the BLI to negative. Wednesday, August 10, 2011, 9:15 A.M. Eastern- updated- 4:54p ET
Volatility: Stocks Roar Back After Fed To Regain Most Of Yesterdays Loss Stocks rally back after a volatile session. The major indexes ended higher by 4 to 5 percent after taking a wild ride that got extreme during and just after the Fed statement. Model data indicates that the rally most likely will not last as after the headline rush, marketeers will get back to reality. The short and long term forecast is negative for the S&P 500. Relief Rally Continues But Sentiment Could Change Overnight Stocks to end in rally mode but it might be a different story Wednesday. Stocks recoup most of yesterdays loss but Wednesday could bring gloom back to the trading floor. Federal Reserve FOMC To Keep Rates At Low Levels At Least Through Mid 2013 A very simulating report from the FOMC today indicating an economy nearly stalling, a recovery that could take possibly years. In a statement released this afternoon the FOMC indicates that the target for the Fed funds rate could stay at record low levels for years, as the economic recovery struggles. Futures Point To A Positive Start On Fed Day Look for a neutral-to-positive open Tuesday. Federal Reserve FOMC meeting and this afternoon is in focus for the start. Tuesday, August 9, 2011, 9:19 A.M. Eastern- updated- 4:01p ET
Stocks Get Hammered Monday As Traders Try To Manage Risk Of Uncertain Times Buyers are sidelined Monday as the news continues to worsen with the U.S. Downgrade, Mae and Mac as well, along with continue worry over the EU and a U.S. Government in apparent turmoil as most are vacationing when they should be in damage control. Markets Look To Federal Reserve Meeting Scheduled For Tuesday The FOMC meets Tuesday at there scheduled meeting to discus monetary policy. The hope is they can come up with something that can at least calm the markets. No major monetary policy changes are expected but the hope is that they at least can stoke the statement with some hints. The press conference that follows (UPDATED: not scheduled for this meeting) the statement, normally at about 2:15 pm, should be a very interesting meeting. Stocks Continue To Sell Off As Traders Accommodate Risk With less than an hour to go, buyers of equities have been sidelined while selling picks up. Dow down as much as 600 point earlier has traded up slightly with the broader market and tech still mired in red. Global Markets Sell Off, U.S. Futures Fall On Uncertainty Look for a negative open Monday. S&P downgrade of U.S. credit, Friday evening, set markets in sell off mode, last night, in the Asian Pacific markets and global markets carrying over to U.S. Futures market. Monday, August 8, 2011, 9:09 A.M. Eastern- updated- 8-9-2011, 9:22a ET
Standard & Poor's Lowered The U.S. Long-Term Rating To AA+ S&P released through their Global Credit Portal a research update outlining the downgrade of the U.S. long-term credit rating... Asian stock market, and global markets, get off to a negative start over uncertainty of the U.S. downgrade impact. Futures point to a negative outlook for U.S. stocks... Volatile Session Ended Mixed With Broader Market Flat, Tech Down, Dow Up Extreme session Friday as the Dow was all over the map, swinging hundreds of point and ending with a gain, while tech NASDAQ stocks added to yesterdays losses, while the broader market ends virtually unchanged. EU [Italy] had positive economic news and a better than expected U.S. jobs number with a feisty jobless claims number yesterday set the mixed tone for trade today. July Payrolls Increased By 117,000, Better Than Expected, Rally Fizzles, turns mixed Look for a neutral-to-positive open for Friday. nonfarm payroll unemployment report and earnings/ guidance is in focus for the start. Half-hour to go, stocks mixed with tech dragging the broader market lower. Friday, August 5, 2011, 9:15 A.M. Eastern- corrected 5:48p- updated- 8-7-2011, 10:42p ET
Major Sell Off, Dow, S&P 500, and NASDAQ Fall 4 To 5 Percent Traders push the panic button as stocks plunge on all the bad news that was shelved for months. The major indexes fall 4 to 5 percent on economic recovery and debt/ budget concerns ahead of the payroll jobs report that is now expected to disappoint. Forecast for the S&P 500 index changed to negative by Barometer models Afternoon model run changed the forecast to negative as trading Thursday indicates mangers/ traders are selling ahead of what is now expected to be a very dismal jobs report Friday. Shorts are helping to move the market lower. Stock market technicians watching S&P 500 index All eyes are on the S&P 500 to see if the index can maintain support at the lower end of the March trading-range. Normally the last hour of trading is a good gage of market direction. Afternoon model run has changed the Forecast to negative. Jobless claims slight drop, futures open unchanged Look for a negative open Thursday. Unemployment new claims and tomorrows jobs unemployment report as well as earnings/ guidance is in focus for the start. Thursday, August 4, 2011, 9:15 A.M. Eastern- updated- 4:53p ET > New unemployment claims slight drop of 1,000 last week.
S&P 500 Index Holds Support After A Volatile Session Look for a neutral-to-positive open Wednesday. That time of the month for the ADP report today, jobless new claims Thursday, and the big one, nonfarm jobs/ unemployment report Friday. Earnings/ guidance is also in focus for the start. With a half-hour to go, the S&P 500 index holds March trading-range lower support. Bull market intact as trading-range stays alive with the S&P 500 rebounding to support [chart]. Wednesday, August 3, 2011, 9:06 A.M. Eastern- updated- 5:47p ET
Debt Deal Is A Done Deal But Stocks Continue To Sell Off Look for a neutral-to-negative open Tuesday. Debt deal goes to Senate for vote, personal income and spending data, earnings/ guidance is in focus for the start. Senate passes debt package while the stock market continues trending in negative territory. S&P 500 index near lower support to trading-range. Models watch for penetration. Tuesday, August 2, 2011, 9:05 A.M. Eastern- updated- 4:50p ET > Workers are making more, spending less in the month of May.
Volatile Market As Data And Politics In Focus Look for a positive open Monday. It appears budget deal coming together as a vote today, or this evening, will likely pass. The next big hurdle is the negative watch by S&P. U.S. stock market set to open in rally mode in reaction to global markets. Monday, August 1, 2011, 9:08 A.M. Eastern- corrected- 9:27a ET- updated- 3:38p ET > House passes debt/ budget, now its onto the Senate for a vote. > Continuing bad economic data [ISM] sends stocks into freefall.
U.S. Equity Market Gives Up Slips Lower Ahead Of Vote Look for a negative open Friday. U.S. budget vote in the House, GDP, and earnings/ guidance is in focus for the start. Friday, July 29, 2011, 8:58:00 A.M. Eastern- updated- 4:27p ET > Major slowdown in production (GDP) causes market reaction.
U.S. Stocks Go Flat Ahead Of Budget Vote Look for a neutral-to-positive open Thursday. Debt/ budget stalemate, jobless initial claims, and earnings/ guidance is in focus for the start. All eyes on Washington to see if a deal can be made. Stocks flatten out to end mixed. Thursday, July 28, 2011, 9:11 A.M. Eastern- updated- 4:50p ET > Jobless new claims show improvement. > Is job creation stagnating or just slowing- chart.
Debt Standoff And Economic Concerns Send Stocks Lower Look for a neutral-to-negative open Wednesday. As the debt ceiling budget deadline gets closer, markets are beginning to react to headlines that could get very volatile over the remainder of the week. Maybe a large drop, or two, in equity prices will get politicians attention. Earnings/ guidance is still a second focus along with economic data. Broader market of stocks accelerate lower as traders concerns deepen. Wednesday, July 27, 2011, 9:15 A.M. Eastern- updated- 4:32p ET
Markets Quiet As Stocks Slip Deeper Into Negative Territory Look for a neutral flat open for Tuesday. Battle of the budgets and the debt ceiling still much of the focus as well as earnings/ guidance. Stocks flat and mixed heading to the close. Stocks turn lower in last hour of trade. Tuesday, July 26, 2011, 9:15 A.M. Eastern- updated- 3:57p ET
Deal Or No Deal- Game Over- We Lose Look for a neutral-to-negative open Monday. U.S. default imminent, could cause S&P to downgrade and that would cause a worsening crises with a loss of confidence in U.S. Government. Earnings/ guidance is a distant focus for the markets. Traders fret not, a deal will be made because if not it would be political suicide for anyone tagged with being responsible. Monday, July 25, 2011, 9:25 A.M. Eastern- updated- 4:54p ET
Mixed Session With Broader Market Flat, Tech Up, Dow Down Look for a neutral flat open. Could turn mixed. Earnings/ guidance and U.S. debt ceiling is the focus for the start. Mixed day ahead of uncertain weekend with EU still some concerns and U.S. budget big concern... Friday, July 22, 2011, 9:15 A.M. Eastern- updated- 3:48p ET > U.S. stock market closes the week with a gain, recouping last weeks losses.
EU Greece News Keeps Rally Going, Traders For Now Ignoring U.S. Budget Dilemma Look for a neutral-to-positive open Thursday. Earnings/ guidance is in focus for the start as well as jobless new claims data. Another rally as traders embrace EU news while ignoring U.S. budget stalemate. Stocks rally on earnings, helped by Greece deal [news], all the while ignoring or assuming that the U.S. will not default, by either making a deal or by extending the drop-dead date of August 2. Thursday, July 21, 2011, 9:06 A.M. Eastern- updated- 4:54p ET > Same old jobs game. Companies not hiring. Chart indicates continuing problem.
Equities Go Flat After Yesterdays Rally Ahead Of More Key Earnings Look for a neutral-to-positive open. Earnings/ guidance and the U.S. debt/ ceiling/ budgeting crises is in focus for the start. Choppy session with stocks in and out of positive territory, ending flat, slightly lower, after yesterdays rally. Wednesday, July 20, 2011, 9:10 A.M. Eastern- updated- 10:05p ET
Stocks Rally On Data, Earnings, And Debt Deal Hope Look for a neutral-to-positive open Tuesday. Housing data and earnings/ guidance is in focus for the start. Stocks ramp up on earnings and the hope that the debt crises is near an end. Traders are headline-chasing with the hope that the debt ceiling and budget is a near done deal. But most likely it will be drawn-out until the last minute. Tuesday, July 19, 2011, 9:14 A.M. Eastern- updated- 9:42p ET
Stocks Lower Monday Amid U.S. And EU Debt Worry Look for a neutral-to-negative open for Monday. U.S. debit ceiling standoff in Washington and earnings/ guidance is in focus for the start. Debt worry hitting home with traders as stocks react to the improbable default by the U.S.. Monday, July 18, 2011, 9:12 A.M. Eastern- updated- 5:54p ET
Downgrade News No Concern To Trading- Stocks End Up Look for a neutral-to-positive open Friday. U.S. debt, consumer price inflation data, and earnings/ guidance is in focus for the start. Ever wonder what would happen if there was no bad news. Traders and investors seem to be ignoring a slew of stuff that would normally take the markets to the depths. The U.S. debt ceiling continues to be a stalemate in the Government... Stocks end in positive territory as some headlines attract attention and some don't. Earnings from Google and JPMorgan inspired trades to end in the green ahead of more data and earnings next week. Friday, July 15, 2011, 9:15 A.M. Eastern- updated- 11:19:00p ET
No QE3 News Set Stocks And Oil Prices Lower Look for a neutral-to-positive open. Earnings/ guidance, PPI, retail sales, and jobless new claims is in focus for the start Thursday. No immediate QE3 [news] set stock prices and oil back into negative territory. Thursday, July 14, 2011, 9:13 A.M. Eastern- updated- 4:39p ET > Wholesale finished goods [prices] decline in June, energy prices fall near 3 percent. > Unemployment new claims improve slightly, chart still unsettling.
Stock Market Bounce Back After Three Days Of Loss Look for a neutral-to-positive open Wednesday. Earnings/ guidance is in focus for the start. Stocks open higher Wednesday after three days of losses. Indexes ramp up on QE3 talk from Fed Chief Bernanke. Trading range seen to continue... Traders getting skittish on Wall Street, turns the market well off the highs of the session, as budget deficit ceiling stalemate continues. Moody's puts review notice out on U.S. Aaa rating. Wednesday, July 13, 2011, 9:00 A.M. Eastern- updated- 5:55p ET
Stock Market Ends In Negative Territory After Brief Pop On Fed Minutes Look for a neutral flat open Tuesday. Could turn mixed. EU troubles, trade deficit, and earnings/ guidance is in focus for the start. Stocks bounce around the unchanged line for most of the day, briefly moving higher on Fed FOMC minutes. Bad news on the EU scene and the trade deficit miss sent stock into negative territory to end the session. Tuesday, July 12, 2011, 9:15 A.M. Eastern- updated- 6:00p ET
EU Debt Crises And U.S. Debt Problem Has Stock Prices Seeing Red Look for a negative open Monday. Earnings/ guidance is in focus for the start. All eyes turn to Alcoa as it's earnings season focus for the next several weeks. Alcoa starts the season and is said to have done very well, but it may not be enough to reverse trades from moving the market lower over the next couple of weeks. Monday, July 11, 2011, 9:08 A.M. Eastern- updated- 3:12:01p ET
Jobs Tank Share Prices Early But Make A Comeback Look for a negative open Friday. Huge disappointing jobs number sends futures sharply lower. Jobs and the economy as well as the U.S. debt is in focus for the start Friday. A very disappointing jobs number reset the markets lower with buyers sidelined on the bad news. Major indexes report negative results today but rally back from the lows of the session. Friday, July 8, 2011, 9:13 A.M. Eastern- updated- 4:35:04p ET > System maintenance Saturday; slight delay possible. > Job growth in June disappoints, frustrating the recovery and traders. > Jobs data send stock futures sharply lower Friday.
U.S. Stock Market Broad Based Rally Sees Leading Indicator Reset To Neutral Look for a neutral-to-positive open Thursday. ADP, Jobless new claims, tomorrows nonfarm report, and EU is in focus for the start. The afternoon Barometer pre close model is changing the BLI to neutral. The positive action surrounding the holidays have been impressive and caused the BLI to be changed to neutral. Thursday, July 7, 2011, 9:08 A.M. Eastern- updated- 4:20p ET > Barometer pre close model upgraded the BLI to neutral. > ADP reported jump in private sector jobs. What does that mean for Fridays job report. > Initial jobless claims drop but chart indicates stubborn sideways-moving jobs market. > Jobless initial claims drop by 14,000 last week.
Dow Jones Index Advances While The Broader Market Held Close To Unchanged Look for a neutral-to-negative open Wednesday. EU economic crises, now with Portugal downgrade, has traders nervous. Jobs and earnings/ outlook are a focus for the start Wednesday. U.S. service sector activity expands, the ISM group reported today. The broader market of stocks was held back today to a slight gain while the DOW advanced 1/2 percent. Wednesday, July 6, 2011, 9:11 A.M. Eastern- updated- 4:56p ET > ISM reported that non manufacturing activity expanded in June for the 19th consecutive month.
Stocks Flatten Out On Portugal Downgrade Look for a neutral flat open. Could turn mixed. Jobs report (later in the week), Greece, the U.S. economy, and next weeks earnings-start is in focus for Tuesdays open. Portugal gets a downgrade taking the broader market lower while tech advanced on the session. Its all about jobs data this week with ADP, jobless claims, and nonfarm payroll. Markets could get volatile if data surprises. Tuesday, July 5, 2011, 9:09 A.M. Eastern- updated- 10:14p ET
No Sellers To Be Found On Continuing Five Day Rally Look for a neutral flat open Friday. Could turn mixed. ISM and earnings/ outlook is in focus for the start. Stocks ramp up again for week long rally as headlines continue to attract buyers. What was expected to be a flat market through the holidays has turned out to be confusing. You'll not find anybody complaining of the advance except maybe Shorts. Friday, July 1, 2011, 9:14 A.M. Eastern- updated- 4:43p ET
Stocks Surge For Fourth Day Amid End Of Quarter And QE2 Look for a neutral-to-positive open for Thursday. Jobless initial claims and earnings/ outlook is in focus for the start. Stocks rally to the end of quarter as its now onto holiday trading and most likely a flat market. The forecast will remain at caution through the holiday period unless a significant event warrants a change. It is unlikely traders will significantly drive the stock market in any particular direction during the holiday period unless a major event compels them to do so. Thursday, June 30, 2011, 9:12 A.M. Eastern- updated- 10:54p ET > Models indicate a different mood after the holiday. > U.S. Economy: stagnate jobs recovery chart still shows problem.
BofA And Financials Lead The Stock Market Higher Look for a neutral-to-positive open Wednesday. BofA comes to terms with Countrywide mortgage issues [settlement] sending banking stocks higher in the pre market, Greece austerity measures up for vote as trading reacts, somewhat, to headlines. Bank stocks lead the market higher on less concern over sector risk as BofA settles Countrywide mortgage issue. Wednesday, June 29, 2011, 9:15 A.M. Eastern- updated- 4:42p ET
Low Volume Rally Heading Towards The End Of Quarter Look for a neutral-to-positive open Tuesday. IMF, Greece, oil prices, and earnings has the focus for the start Tuesday. Stocks ramp up second day as traders gear up for end of quarter and probable Greece debt resolution, again. Two day rally sees the S&P 500 about where it was a week ago reclaiming lost ground. Tuesday, June 28, 2011, 9:15 A.M. Eastern- updated- 4:43p ET > Forecast Bias study shows flat sideways market.
Less Bad News And Encouraging Signs In Europe Get Buyers Off The Sidelines Look for a neutral flat open. Could turn mixed. U.S. debt and the economy, personal income and spending data as well as oil prices are in focus for the start. Albeit on low volume, stocks rally on EU hope and Dollar weakness. Monday, June 27, 2011, 9:16 A.M. Eastern- updated- 4:46p ET > A new S&P 500 forecast study released over the weekend shows bad and good news. > Personal income up, spending flat as economy slows.
Equities Maintained Strong Hold On Negative Territory, Result Of Continuing Bad Economical News Look for a neutral flat open. Could turn mixed. GDP and durable goods in focus for the start. More bad news as GDP data indicates a slowdown in the recovering economy. A string of not so friendly economical data is affecting equity buyers. Buyers step aside as stocks continue the march lower. Friday, June 24, 2011, 9:12 A.M. Eastern- updated- 5:44p ET > New study indicates flat sideways market. > More evidence of a slowdown in the recovery as Q1 GDP looks anemic.
Greece Bailout News Help Cut Losses, Sending Tech Shares Positive Look for a negative open Thursday. Jobless initial claims and GDP revision yesterday by the Fed is in focus for the start as well as WTI oil price. Futures dive after jobless claims disappointment. Dow Jones, S&P 500, and NASDAQ took a beating early today on continuing bad economical news. But as fate would have it, the Dow and S&P 500 was able to reclaim most of the days loss, while tech surged back to end higher by 0.7 percent. All this action amid Greek European Union bailout news, albeit on low volume, as reported. Of course don't forget yesterday with the Federal Reserve revisions to GDP, unemployment, and inflation. Thursday, June 23, 2011, 9:12 A.M. Eastern- updated- 9:54p ET > Disappointing jobless new claims sink Futures market and the open.
Stocks Trend Lower After Fed FOMC Press Conference Look for a neutral-to-negative open Wednesday. Fed day, as the Federal Open Market Committee to decide on any moves on monetary policy. Earnings/ outlook is in focus for the start as well as the Greek debt problem that continues to grab headlines. Stocks fall after traders digest Fed outlook. Fed revises GDP, unemployment rate, and inflation. Wednesday, June 22, 2011, 9:09 A.M. Eastern- updated- 4:47p ET > Fed holds the target of the Fed funds rate to a range of 0 - 1/4 percent.
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Fed to hold its second monetary policy meeting press conference this afternoon.
Carryover From Yesterdays Theme, Stocks Ramp Up Look for a neutral-to-positive open Tuesday. Fed FOMC meeting, Greek debt, and earnings/ outlook, coming up soon, could stir traders one way or the other. Tuesday, June 21, 2011, 9:15 A.M. Eastern- updated- 9:28p ET
After Two Mixed Sessions Stocks Advance 1/2 Percent Look for a neutral-to-negative open for Monday. Greece, of course, is in focus for the start as well as WTI crude price continues to drop. Oil prices this morning around $91 bbl. Monday, June 20, 2011, 9:13 A.M. Eastern- updated- 4:46p ET
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Italy Headline Snapped Stocks Back Towards Unchanged As The Market Posted Mixed Close Look for a positive open Friday. EU Greece debt problem and an oversold U.S. stock market is in focus for the start. The Dollar is under some pressure as well as WTI oil price moving lower to the $90 bbl area. Reports of Moody review of Italy debt situation caused stocks to move lower, heading for another mixed close. Greece got stocks going this morning and Italy may takes markets on a ride next week. Dow and S&P 500 posted a gain while tech posted negative. Friday, June 17, 2011, 9:15 A.M. Eastern- updated- 5:47p ET
After Good Start, Stocks End Mixed, No Direction For The Markets Today Look for a neutral-to-positive open Thursday. Could turn mixed. Jobless new claims is in focus as well as Greece. Stock market looks for direction Thursday. Jobless new claims, although good data this morning, still show sign that jobs in the U.S. is still a concern. Traders could use joblessness as a signpost, that if not pointing in the right direction, could be problematic for the stock market this summer. Thursday, June 16, 2011, 9:20 A.M. Eastern- updated- 4:33p ET > Jobless new claims dropped last week but chart still shows a jobs problem.
Manufacturing And Inflation Data Set Wrong Tone For Trading Look for a negative open Wednesday. Ready to give back yesterdays gains as data sets off futures lower. Consumer Prices data (inflation) shows modest gain. Manufacturing index sinks as does futures, stocks to open well into negative territory. The bad news finally settles in with traders as stocks continue moving lower. Wednesday, June 15, 2011, 9:18 A.M. Eastern- updated- 3:34p ET > Apparel and travel lodging increased inflation in May while energy-gas declines.
Stocks Rally As Oversold Market Bounces Back From Weeks Of Selling Look for a positive open Tuesday. Rebound set for Tuesday as traders see buying opportunities. Retails sales and producer prices are out helps futures. Iffy data but stocks rally anyway on oversold market while Bernanke address U.S. budget... Tuesday, June 14, 2011, 9:11 A.M. Eastern- updated- 10:02p ET > Fed Chief Bernanke to talk on fiscal sustainability at budget conference. > Stocks are set to rally Tuesday after weeks of selling. > Manufacturing prices rise in May- data helps futures.
U.S. Stock Market Post Flat And Mixed Results Look for a neutral-to-positive open for Monday. Forecast change, can stocks rebound this week, reversing six-weeks of negative action is in focus for the start. Energy stocks and oil prices under pressure holding gains of the major indexes to a minimum while Greece is reported to have had another downgrade on debt. Monday, June 13, 2011, 9:12 A.M. Eastern- updated- 4:51p ET
Barometer Model Downgrades Indicator, Stocks Post 1-1/2 Percent Loss Look for a neutral-to-negative open Friday. Yesterdays pop higher may be the last for a while as Futures continue to drift lower. The Market Barometer afternoon model run is changing the BLI to negative. Data from the afternoon model indicates further weakening of the stock market unless the BLI indicator is reversed. Reversal of the BLI is possible. Next week, say by midweek, if the stock market hasn't appreciably turned around, a new direction in the stock market may have been established. The Forecast continues at caution until such time that models are triggered to downgrade the Forecast. Always remember to be prepared for the unexpected, as forecasts cannot predict surprise news and surprise news can and do change market direction. Friday, June 10, 2011, 9:09 A.M. Eastern- updated- 10:05p ET
Stocks Reclaim Some Of Month Long Losses Look for a neutral-to-positive open Thursday, could turn mixed. The U.S. economical recovery and the UK economy is in focus for the start as well as jobless initial claims. With a little over an hour to go in Thursdays regular session, the major indexes hold gains as a very short-term oversold condition appears to be in play. Thursday, June 9, 2011, 9:12 A.M. Eastern- updated- 4:41p ET > Another disappointing jobless claims has markets wondering about the recovery- see chart.
Tech And Broader Market Sink While Blue Chips Post Slight Loss Look for a neutral-to-negative open Wednesday. The economy and how the recovery is or is not progressing is the major topic, as stimulated by Fed Chief Bernanke in yesterdays speech on the recovery. Wednesday, June 8, 2011, 9:07 A.M. Eastern- updated- 4:51:00p ET
Stocks Try To Make A Go Of It But Dive At The Close For A Slight Loss Look for a neutral-to-positive open Tuesday. Bernanke speech today is about the only news markets can chew on as traders and investors mull any further pullback after a five week downturn. Tuesday, June 7, 2011, 9:15 A.M. Eastern- updated- 4:07p ET
Stocks Start New Week Moderately Lower On Sparse Data Look for a neutral flat open for Monday. Slow data week as markets look for direction. WTI crude price continues testing the $100 mark. Not much of a change from last week as jobs data seems to be the big stickler, as U.S. stocks continue to sink. Monday, June 6, 2011, 9:14 A.M. Eastern- updated- 4:51p ET
Bad Day And Week(s) For Stocks As Job Disappointments Spark More Selling Look for a negative open for Friday. nonfarm payroll data and the economic recovery is in focus for the start. Jobs report send stocks down Friday continuing weeks of selling. Models suggest that next week could very well determine if the stock market is set to move lower through the summer months. With little market moving data scheduled next week, the indexes could continue drifting lower. Friday, June 3, 2011, 8:58 A.M. Eastern- updated- 4:48p ET > Unemployment rate rose to 9.1 percent in May. > Sell off sparked by another anemic jobs report.
Stocks End Flat And Mixed Ahead Of Payroll Look for a neutral-to-positive open Thursday. Jobs data and the economic recovery is in focus for the start. Could be a big day tomorrow for the markets as the jobs payroll number coming in as expected, or better, could be met with ho-hum and any disappointing number could be met with another sell off. Thursday, June 2, 2011, 9:15 A.M. Eastern- updated- 4:44p ET
> Stubborn jobs market continues to derail economic recovery sentiment.
Finally The Bad News Gets Traders Attention Taking Stocks Down Look for a neutral-to-negative open for Wednesday. ADP jobs report may have finally got traders attention, as futures point to a lower open- see how long this lasts. Jobless new claims tomorrow and payroll nonfarm Friday is in focus for the start as well as EU debt troubles and home prices taking a dip. Stocks take a hit Wednesday as jobs, or lack off, finally gets a reaction from the market. Wednesday, June 1, 2011, 9:01 A.M. Eastern- updated- 4:47p ET > Traders get connected to the .mobi Chalkboard on your high-end mobile device.
Stocks End On A Strong Note But Trouble Is Ahead Look for a positive open Tuesday. Last regular session of May. Could see stocks ramp up today. Models paint a different picture for the summer months, as a pullback/ correction nears. Case-Shiller data and UK are in the news as traders pretty much continue to ignore economic recovery signals. Up day Tuesday while all eyes are on how the market will do tomorrow- traders can be defiant. The big problem in stocks reversing direction and moving lower is, everybody is expecting it and markets move contrary- so the wait is on- it will happen! Tuesday, May 31, 2011, 9:15 A.M. Eastern- updated- 4:51p ET > Trader Alert: now you can get to the chalkboard through you mobile high-end device.
Stocks Hold Gains After Iffy Data Ahead Of Long Holiday Weekend Look for a neutral-to-positive open for Friday. EU debt concerns, Dollar falling, Personal income and spending data, and earnings/ outlook is in focus for the start as well as oil prices continue to test the $100 bbl mark. Friday, May 27, 2011, 9:08 A.M. Eastern- updated- 12:56:001p ET > Models show that there is a better than 50-50 chance that there will be a mood change next week, for the worse. > Consumer income and spending for April was slightly disappointing but had no effect on markets. > Market advances ahead of long holiday weekend and end of month.
Traders Boost Stocks With Tech Leading The Way GDP, jobless initial claims, and earnings/ outlook was the focus for the start as well as oil prices. The stock market started out in negative territory, with the broader market turning positive midday, following tech stocks up. Data was anything but friendly with no change in first quarter domestic production and an up tick in jobless claims. But traders overlook the bad and ugly and send stocks up anyway. Thursday, May 26, 2011, 8:56 A.M. Eastern- updated- 9:09p ET > Unemployment new claims rose to 424,000 showing a difficult jobs market- chart. > No change to GDP from previous estimate; economy grew at 1.8 percent.
Stocks End Three Sessions Of Losses But Models Are Little Changed Look for a neutral-to-negative open Wednesday. Durable Goods Orders, EURO, and earnings/ outlook is in focus for the start. The post open model-run is changing the Bias to negative as conditions in the stock market continue to weaken. Even though stocks had a positive day today, models continue to indicate a weaker market going into the summer months. Wednesday, May 25, 2011, 9:13 A.M. Eastern- updated- 4:33p ET > WTI oil price breaks through the $100 bbl mark; as stocks and oil track one another.
Stocks Can't Hold Positive Ground, Marketeers Continue Yesterdays Sell Off Look for a neutral-to-positive open Tuesday. A rebound from yesterdays selling is set for Tuesday's open as the focus continues on the EU debt problem and the U.S. recovery. Oil prices continue to test the $100 bbl mark. U.S. stocks try to settle for a mixed close after yesterdays selling spree. Unable to hold positive ground, stocks relent, moved lower as tech problems were to much for the broader market to overcome Tuesday. Tuesday, May 24, 2011, 9:04 A.M. Eastern- updated- 9:48p ET
Head Fake Or The Beginning Of A Long Awaited Correction Look for a negative open Monday. Europe debt problems resurface for the U.S. markets again causing selling in the pre market. EU problems is the current motivator for traders to finally take profits. EU troubles give U.S. stocks a reason to sell off as the major indexes post over a 1 percent loss. Monday, May 23, 2011, 9:09 A.M. Eastern- updated- 4:50p ET
Stocks Resume A More Defensive Stance While Linkedin Is More Subdued On Second Day Look for a neutral-to-negative open for Friday. TGIF. Earnings/ outlook is in focus for the start as well as Linkedin. Friday, May 20, 2011, 9:03 A.M. Eastern- updated- 3:31p ET
Oil Continues To Test The $100 Market And Linkedin IPO Excites Trading Look for a neutral-to-positive open Thursday. Unemployment initial claims and earnings/ outlook is in focus for the start as well as Linkedin IPO. Midday sees stocks mixed with the Dow Jones slightly higher, in positive territory, while WTI oil price continues to test the $100 mark. Jobless new claims dropped slightly but data continues to show a very tough jobs market. Linkedin (LNKD) IPO was clearly the top story as the new stock jumped on its first day in the public market. Housing and manufacturing data disappointment was overlooked by the exceptional focus on Linkedin. Thursday, May 19, 2011, 9:12 A.M. Eastern- updated- 5/20/11- 9:45p ET > Improving jobless new claims but chart still shows potential problem.
Can Stocks Ramp Up Forever Or Is It Last Gasp Before Crunch Time Look for a neutral flat open Wednesday, could turn mixed. Earnings/ outlook is in focus for the start. Stocks are positive again as it appears there is no end insight. S&P 500 index is testing support and it appears to be a good test but Thursdays market could tell more about direction. Wednesday, May 18, 2011, 9:22 A.M. Eastern- updated- 4:38p ET
Stocks Post Mixed, Well Off The Low But Data Suggest More Negative Ness To Come Look for a neutral flat open Tuesday. Housing starts and earnings/ outlook is in focus for the start. Stocks open negative, hurt by housing data and HP outlook. Stocks, especially Blue Chips, were hammered early on but recovered most of the loss by the end of the day. Tuesday, May 17, 2011, 9:09 A.M. Eastern- updated- 4:52p ET
Stocks Slump As Traders Decipher EU Greece Debt Problem Look for a neutral-to-negative open for Monday. Earnings/ outlook and M&A is in focus for the start as well as trouble at the top of the IMF. IMF Chief in jail is no market mover but the ongoing Greece debt concerns continue for U.S. market. Monday, May 16, 2011, 9:13 A.M. Eastern- updated- 3:39p ET
A Down Day As Buyers Are Sidelined Look for a neutral flat open, could turn mixed. Consumer inflation data and earnings/ outlook is in focus for the start. Stock market drops near one percent as buyers get sidelined. Financials and tech take toll on stocks Friday amid a rise in the Dollar and debate over market direction. More and more pundits are favoring the debate of a lower market over the summer months which could cause some indecision. Up and down days can be expected until one realm wins. Friday, May 13, 2011, 9:15 A.M. Eastern- updated- 5/16/11- 5:52p ET > Consumer inflation rose 0.4 percent in April, as expected by economist.
Major Indexes Ease From The High But Sport A Positive Session Look for a neutral-to-negative open for Thursday. Jobless initial claims, inflation data (PPI), and earnings/ outlook is in focus for the start. U.S. stocks got off to a poor start Thursday but recovered midday and trended higher in the afternoon session to end with a substantial gain. Thursday, May 12, 2011, 9:02 A.M. Eastern- updated- 3:56p ET > Cisco stock in freefall, hopefully isn't contagious to other big caps. > Manufacturing prices rose in April 0.8 percent. > Jobless new claims drop 44,000 but chart still indicates a problem.
Stocks Drop Over A Percent As The Market Prepares For A Disappointing Jobless Claims Number Look for a neutral flat open; could turn mixed to negative. Earnings/ outlook is in focus for the start as well as the trade deficit for March. Traders concerned over the jobs market are skittish Wednesday ahead of Thursdays unemployment new claims number that for the past several weeks has disappointed- chart. Wednesday, May 11, 2011, 9:18 A.M. Eastern- updated- 3:56p ET > Cisco losses ground after meeting comments. > Hedge fund manager found guilty on 14 counts of fraud. > Oil drops 4 percent, rebounds in the after hours, volatility picks up. > Cisco Systems up in the after hours on earnings.
Stocks Ramp Up Again Defying Forecast Models Look for a neutral-to-positive open Tuesday. Earnings/ outlook, M&A, and inflation data is in focus for the start. Three day rally is underway defying models... Microsoft and Skype announced that they have entered into an agreement for Microsoft to acquire Skype for $8.5 billion in cash from investors led by the Silver Lake group. The agreement was approved by the boards. Stocks advance for a third straight session as traders continue to boost stock prices. Tuesday, May 10, 2011, 10:50 A.M. Eastern- updated- 4:26p ET
Stocks Gain As Traders In Buying Mood Recover Some Of Last Weeks Losses While Oil Tops $100 Look for a neutral flat open Monday, could turn mixed. Earnings/ outlook is in focus for the start, as well as commodity prices. Stocks advance Monday as Europe debt concerns are back in the news with S&P cutting Greek credit rating. Commodity prices advance with oil back above the $100 mark. Monday, May 9, 2011, 9:15 A.M. Eastern- updated- 5:53p ET- corrected- 7/15/2011
Well Off The Highs Of The Session, Stocks Regain Positive Momentum Look for a positive open Friday on the jobs report. Jobs and earnings/ outlook is in focus for the start as well as the continuing sell off in commodities. Stocks turned around recovered some of yesterdays losses. Friday, May 6, 2011, 9:15 A.M. Eastern- updated- 9:40p ET > May 8, 2011, 2:51p ET, network test. > Unexpected increase in jobs set the tone for a positive open. > Unemployment rate rose to 9 percent last month.
Commodities And Stocks Sharply Lower Ahead Of The Nonfarm Jobs Report Tomorrow Look for a neutral-to-negative open Thursday. Jobless initial claims and earnings/ outlook is in focus for the start as well as continuing the smaller focus on Bin Laden death and U.S. Forces operations. Oil gets slammed dropping below the $100 mark. Gold and silver dive as well while stocks move decisively lower on jobs anxiety. Thursday, May 5, 2011, 9:15 A.M. Eastern- updated- 4:47p ET > Bad times on Wall Street, but don't count the market out. > Price of oil pops up above $100 bbl in after hours, U.S.. > Huge increase in jobless new claims indicates trouble- chart. > Price of WTI oil plummets on economics.
Jobs Take Markets Lower As Traders Gear Up For More Bad News Look for a neutral flat open. ADP jobs report, Fridays Nonfarm jobs report, Jobless new claims tomorrow, and Bin Laden is in focus for the start as well as earnings. Wednesday, May 4, 2011, 9:11 A.M. Eastern- updated- 2:56p ET > Network test Wednesday, May 4, 2011, 11:12 P.M. Eastern
Stocks End Well Off The Lows With The Dow Virtually Unchanged Look for a neutral-to-negative open Tuesday. Bin Laden's death in focus for the start as well as back to budget concerns and earnings. Tuesday, May 3, 2011, 9:15 A.M. Eastern- updated- 4:48p ET > S&P 500 chart show a healthy rally but models show otherwise.
Stocks In U.S. End Lower As Traders Assimilate Bin Laden's Death Look for a neutral-to-positive open Monday. Bin Laden being killed by U.S. Forces is the main topic as well as earnings/ outlook. Stocks give up, move lower, ending slightly off the unchanged line while oil prices drop 1/2 percent. Monday, May 2, 2011, 9:15 A.M. Eastern- updated- 3:57p ET
Stocks rise on earnings and data Look for a neutral flat open Friday. Earnings/ outlook is in focus for the start. Stocks continue to rise on earnings and data as traders eye oil and gas prices. Monday will see a caution for the stock market but could turn negative- see forecast. Friday, April 29, 2011, 9:15 A.M. Eastern- updated- 4:27p ET > Stocks ramp up after statistics says great earnings season.
Thursdays Stock Market Start Report Look for a neutral-to-negative open for Thursday. Fed meeting, GDP, jobless new claims, and earnings/ outlook is in focus for the start. Thursday, April 28, 2011, 9:01 A.M. Eastern > GDP for Q1 rose 1.8 percent- chart. > A spike in new claims could be trouble- see chart.
Markets first ever Fed watch
on the tube U.S. stocks got off to a positive start as the market digests the Fed's first ever rate announcement press conference. Wednesday, April 27, 2011, 10:24 A.M. Eastern- updated 6-9-11, 11:21p > Forecast models not effected by server intermittent problem. > Publishing server intermittent error; some services have been interrupted.
Tuesdays Stock Market Start Report Look for a neutral-to-positive open Tuesday. Earnings/ outlook is in focus for the start. Tuesday, April 26, 2011, 9:14 A.M. Eastern
Look for a neutral flat open for Monday. Earnings/ outlook is in focus for the start. Monday, April 25, 2011, 8:56 A.M. Eastern- updated- 4/26/2011- 9:41a ET
Stocks Close Short Week Virtually At The Highs Look for a neutral-to-positive open Thursday. Earnings/ outlook is in focus for the start as well as jobless new claims. Thursday, April 21, 2011, 7:58 A.M. Eastern- updated- 4/22/2011- 2:57a ET
Stocks Rally As Earnings/ Outlook Pull Sellers To The Sidelines Look for a neutral-to-positive open. Earnings/ outlook is in focus for the start. Good earnings could continue this rally into Thursday, but models expect this momentum to slow after earnings season and cause a vacuum for stocks to pullback into. Wednesday, April 20, 2011, 9:15 A.M. Eastern- updated- 4:43p ET
Market Rose As Traders Send Stocks Higher After Earnings Look for a neutral-to-positive open Tuesday. Earnings/ outlook is in focus for the start. After hours earnings report set stock advancing ahead of the regular session. Tuesday, April 19, 2011, 9:15 A.M. Eastern- updated- 5:53p ET
Bull Market Might Be Over As Stocks Drop Amid S&P U.S. Credit Warning Look for a neutral-to-negative open for Monday. Earnings/ outlook is in focus for the start. Midday Barometer model changes the Barometer Leading Indicator (BLI) to neutral from positive. The stock market drops triple [Dow] digits Monday as Standard & Poor's downgrades the U.S. outlook to negative from stable. Monday, April 18, 2011, 9:15 A.M. Eastern- updated- 5:53p ET- server test update 10:44p et > Stock market extended forecast shows trouble ahead. > Midday model has changed the BLI to neutral as conditions continue to degrade.
Broader Market Advances Disregarding Earnings And Inflation Data Look for a neutral-to-negative open for Friday. Earnings/ outlook is in focus for the start as well as consumer inflation report. Stocks post a gain Friday but a loss for the week as traders try to get a grip on earnings- outlook. Economic data indicates inflation will be a problem in the future but markets expect that during the initial recovery. Friday, April 15, 2011, 9:15 A.M. Eastern- updated- 5:57p ET > Consumer Price Index rose 1/2 percent in March, core rose 0.1%.
Mostly Negative Session Leads Models To Downgrade The Bias Look for a neutral-to-negative open. Earnings/ outlook, jobless new claims, and inflation report is in focus for the start as well as oil prices. Afternoon model to change the Bias to neutral as market conditions continue to deteriorate. Even though the major indexes report improving conditions as the session progresses, the afternoon model changed the Forecast Bias to neutral. Thursday, April 14, 2011, 9:15 A.M. Eastern- updated- 4:01p ET > Stocks recover loss but not before forecast models change the Bias to neutral. > Manufacturing prices rose 0.7 percent in March. > Jobless new claims spike but data [chart] still show improving employment condition in U.S. economy.
Tech Rebounds, Broader Market Closes Virtually Unchanged Look for a neutral-to-positive open. Earnings/ outlook is in focus for the start as well as retail sales and oil prices. After oil's big sell off, WTI oil price is back again climbing towards a last ditch effort to reclaim $113. Wednesday, April 13, 2011, 9:15 A.M. Eastern- updated- 4:52p ET > Oil sells off but makes comeback- back to $113 and beyond or about to collapse. > A struggling broader market- future at risk.
We Have A Real Tired Market As Stocks Decline For A Fourth Session Look for a neutral-to-negative open Tuesday. Earnings/ outlook is in focus for the start as well as the continuing calamity in Japan. Looks like the good times are over as for a fourth session stocks look to continue lower. Models indicate a high probability of a Bias change to neutral, leading the way to a Forecast change in the near future. Tuesday, April 12, 2011, 9:15 A.M. Eastern- updated- 5:45p ET > Stocks down and out for a fourth session. > Alcoa's miss start stocks off on the wrong earnings foot.
Stocks Down For Third Session As Earnings Get Underway Look for a neutral-to-positive open Monday. Earnings/ outlook is in focus for the start. Monday, April 11, 2011, 9:15 A.M. Eastern
Market Closes Negative For Two Sessions In A Row While Government Contemplates The Budget Look for a neutral-to-positive open for Friday. Oil prices and earnings/ outlook is in focus for the start, as well as gold prices. Traders trying to figure out if it's a good thing for a shutdown of Government, or not. Getting nothing done for a couple weeks might be favorable to stocks. Oil prices surging is more of an intermediate problem for the economy, corporations, and traders- pun intended. Friday, April 8, 2011, 9:15 A.M. Eastern- updated- 4:38p ET > Stocks on a two day bummer; short term could see brief rally followed by move lower. > Drama over as Government avoids a shutdown late Friday evening.
Stocks Take A Breather Settling In Negative Territory While Oil Prices Ramp Up Look for a neutral-to-negative open Thursday. Jobless new claims and retail sales data is in focus for the start. Thursday, April 7, 2011, 9:19 A.M. Eastern- updated- 2:48p ET > The overall positive-ness by the broader market indicates belief in the recovery and earnings. > Unemployment new claims continue to drop- chart shows improving jobs market. > EU raised interest rate to 1.25 percent today.
U.S. Stock Market Ends Flat But Positive As Earnings Season Grows Near Look for a neutral-to-positive open. Earnings/ outlook is in focus for the start as well as oil prices. Another dull but profitable day at the market as traders await data- jobless new claims tomorrow- inflation data late next week. Earnings get underway with Alcoa as earnings could kick start this third year rally higher. Wednesday, April 6, 2011, 9:10 A.M. Eastern- updated- 5:40p ET
Market Goes Flat While The Barometer Leading Indicator Gets An Upgrade Look for a neutral-to-negative open for Tuesday. M&A and earnings/ outlook is in focus for the start. The pre close model is changing the BLI to positive. Even though the major indexes turned negative in the last half-hour of trade, model data shows that a positive stock market should continue for at lease the next several weeks. Data also shows that "sell in May and go away" might be prudent this year- stay tuned and watch the forecast- that could happen as early as the last week of April. Tuesday, April 5, 2011, 9:10 A.M. Eastern- updated- 9:33p ET
Stocks Trended The Unchanged Line, Posted Flat Mixed Close Look for a neutral-to-positive open Monday. Earnings/ outlook is in focus for the start as well as oil prices hold near $108. Slow session as stocks have a flat mixed end on very low volume. Monday, April 4, 2011, 9:10 A.M. Eastern- updated- 5:52p ET
Stock Market Starts The Second Quarter With 1/2 Percent Gain Look for a neutral-to-positive open Friday. Jobs report/ unemployment-rate and earnings/ outlook is in focus for the start as well as oil prices. Stocks rise 1/2 percent for the broader market and the Dow with tech index trailing. Friday, April 1, 2011, 9:10 A.M. Eastern- updated- 9:28p ET > Futures market happy with 216,000 jobs created; look for a positive start.
Stocks End Flat Ahead Of The Payroll Jobs Report Tomorrow Look for a neutral-to-negative open. Jobless new claims this morning and payroll job creation unemployment-rate data Friday is in focus for the start, as well as this is the last regular trading session of the First Quarter. The mother of all economic reports [Nonfarm jobs report] is due out tomorrow morning that could set traders buying more stocks or dumping what they have. Data thus far show that we should get a good number that will at least appease traders. Thursday, March 31, 2011, 9:00 A.M. Eastern- updated- 9:37p ET > Unemployment new claims continue to show improvement- chart.
Appears That There Is No Way To Stop This Bull Run; Stocks Up Again Look for a neutral-to-positive open. ADP jobs data today, jobless new claims Thursday, and payroll jobs/ unemployment-rate Friday, as well as end of the first quarter trading rebalancing. Stocks continue to ramp up with jobless new claims tomorrow and Fridays all important payroll report where we find out how many jobs were created this month and the unemployment rate. Wednesday, March 30, 2011, 9:14 A.M. Eastern- updated- 9:48p ET
Forecast Change To Caution While Stocks Get Back On Track Look for a neutral flat open, could turn mixed. End of month and quarter as well as earnings/ outlook is in focus for the start. The afternoon Market Barometer model is changing the Forecast back to caution, as it was the week before last. Make it seven out of the past ten sessions that traders send stocks up into positive territory. The question now becomes what happens past the first quarter, can the market continue higher. The answer may come in two weeks when earnings season gets underway with Alcoa reporting 1Q11. Tuesday, March 29, 2011, 9:13 A.M. Eastern- updated- 10:19p ET
U.S. Stock Market Goes Slightly Negative Look for a neutral-to-positive open for Monday. Personal income & spending, Japan, and Libya is in focus for the start as well as oil prices. Low volume session as trading trends-off and model metrics record anemic samples. Monday, March 28, 2011, 8:40 A.M. Eastern- updated- 9:37p ET
Market Posts Three In A Row On GDP And Earnings Look for a neutral-to-positive open Friday. GDP data and earnings in focus for the start as well as oil prices. Friday, March 25, 2011, 9:06 A.M. Eastern- updated- 5:43p ET > Third estimate of Q4 GDP is 3.1, annually 2.9 for 2010- chart.
Bias Upgraded As Stocks Continue The March Higher Look for a neutral-to-positive open. Portugal, Durable Goods, and Jobless initial claims is in focus for the start as well as oil prices. The afternoon model run is changing the Bias to positive, laying the framework for a Forecast upgrade to caution. Stocks continue the march higher ending slightly off session high. If the S&P 500 continues to perform at current levels and above, the Forecast will be upgraded to caution, then positive. Thursday, March 24, 2011, 8:40 A.M. Eastern- updated- 5:51p ET > Barometer model upgraded the Bias to positive leading the way for a Forecast upgrade. > Unemployment new claims continue to drop indicating jobs recovery- chart.
Portugal Headwind Got In The Way Of An S&P 500 Session-high Close Look for a flat mixed open Wednesday. EU- Portugal, Japan, Libya, and earnings is in focus for the start as well as oil prices on the march higher over the turmoil in the Middle East. Models were primed to upgrade the Bias to positive, laying the framework for a Forecast upgrade to caution, but EU debt troubles continue to hit buyers in the last minutes of trade, sending them to the sidelines. Stocks posted gains today but off session high as the market comes to grip with the continuing EU debt problem. Wednesday, March 23, 2011, 8:30 A.M. Eastern- updated- 5:59p ET
Stocks Slightly Lower After Three-Day Rally As Consolidation Sets In Look for a neutral flat open for Tuesday. Could turn mixed. Libya, Japan, and M&A is in focus for the start as well as oil prices. Stocks rest Tuesday as the major averages post a slight loss after rallying for the past three sessions. Tuesday, March 22, 2011, 8:30 A.M. Eastern- updated- 4:49p ET
Stocks Regain 12k Mark Reversing Last Weeks Early Losses Look for a rally to open the week. Less worry over Japan's disasters and somewhat of a cap on Libya concerns have traders in a buying mood amid a continuing negative forecast that may be short-lived. Midday model-run is changing the Bias back to neutral. The model data indicates that the U.S. stock market appears to be getting back to basics, focusing on economics and the Capitol Market rather than headline news. Monday, March 21, 2011, 8:22 A.M. Eastern- updated- 4:45p ET > Forecast upgrade possible if the S&P 500 continues to deliver. > Midmorning model run stays further downgrade of the market. > Stocks ramp up, less World worries, traders get back to economics.
Rally Is In Tacked But Ends Off Session Highs Ahead Of The Weekend Look for a positive open for Friday. Japan's nuclear problem is in focus for the start as well as oil prices and Libya. Forecast models indicate stocks could still move lower, but the BLI indicator being at neutral indicates that it may be short-lived. Less worry over Japan and positive developments in Libya has stocks rallying once again today. Traders see this as back to economics and earnings. Friday, March 18, 2011, 8:59 A.M. Eastern- updated- 4:55p ET
Less Worries And Oversold Market Set Tone, Ending Three Days Of Losses Look for a positive open for Thursday. Japan's nuclear radiation leak, jobless new claims, and consumer price data is in focus for the start. Thursday, March 17, 2011, 8:10 A.M. Eastern- updated- 2:33p ET > Consumer prices rose in February, in line with expectations. > Unemployment new claims chart continues to show improving jobs market in the U.S.
Selling Pressure Continues Triggering A Forecast Change To Negative Look for a neutral flat open. Japan's nuclear plants, inflation reports (PPI), and housing starts is in focus for the start. The afternoon model-run has changed the Forecast to negative. With the stock market continuing to sell off, it may be just a correction- at best. At worst, could be a major pullback. At this point the BLI indicator is still at neutral which, for now, indicates this could be just a correction. Wednesday, March 16, 2011, 8:13 A.M. Eastern- updated- 9:17p ET > Sell off continues triggering Forecast change to negative. > Wholesale prices jump in February, better than expected.
Stocks Take Another Hit But Stair Step Back From Near 300 Point Dow Loss Look for a negative open Tuesday. Radiation leak fear at Japan's nuclear plants is the focus Tuesday. If anything can trigger a correction, the latest events in Japan will do it. Look for some action in the models today. The Market Barometer post open model-run is changing the Forecast-Bias to negative. Building fear of further nuclear breakdown sends the U.S. stock market lower Tuesday. Tuesday, March 15, 2011, 8:10 A.M. Eastern- updated- 4:44p ET > The Fed will maintain rate target to under 1/4 percent, says recovery on firm footing. > Forecast models suggest that the long-awaited correction could begin in earnest today. > MB Post open model run changed the Forecast-bias to negative this morning. > Futures slide on Japan's nuclear concerns and global market sell off.
U.S. Stocks Take A Hit Amid Concerns Over Nuclear Power Plants In Japan Look for a neutral-to-negative open Monday. Japan's earthquake and tsunami is in focus for the start. The Market Barometer models continue to show caution. A caution forecast indicates stocks to be up one day down the next, in an alternating fashion. Monday, March 14, 2011, 8:10 A.M. Eastern- updated- 5:46p ET
Two Day Selling Spree Is Over As Stocks Ramp Up Mystifying Marketeers Look for a neutral-to-negative open Friday. Earnings/ outlook is in focus for the start as well as the earthquake in Japan. Market participants are wondering how can U.S. stocks rebound after so much adversity, such as Japan's earthquake, Mideast unrest, and EU financial problems. Friday, March 11, 2011, 8:10 A.M. Eastern- updated- 5:54p ET
Economical Data And Mideast Unrest Gets Blamed For Sell Off Look for a neutral-to-negative open. Jobless new claims and earnings/ outlook is in focus for the start as well as oil prices. U.S. stock market sinks on the anniversary of the beginning of this bull market, two years to the day, when the S&P 500 ramped up 6.4 percent. Thursday, March 10, 2011, 8:10 A.M. Eastern- updated- 2:50p ET > Forecast models are showing this pullback could turn into a correction. > Jobless recovery; new claims increased as expected but chart still shows jobs recovery.
Broader Market Ends Flat NASDAQ Lost 1/2 Percent Look for a neutral flat open. Could turn mixed. Oil and gas prices in focus for the start as well as the Mideast unrest. March 9, 2009 the S&P 500 index bottomed out at 676.53. Since then, stocks have ramped up for the past two years with all eyes looking for a correction/ pullback. Wednesday, March 9, 2011, 8:10 A.M. Eastern- updated- 5:51p ET
U.S. Stock Market Ends Two Day Sell Off With A Near One Percent Gain Look for a neutral-to-positive open Tuesday, could turn mixed. Oil prices and Libya is in focus for the start. Oil eases slightly, if you consider $100 [plus] a barrel eased, allowing stocks to regain some lost ground, helped by the Financials. Tuesday, March 8, 2011, 8:10 A.M. Eastern- updated- 4:54p ET
Oil Prices Back-off To $105 Level While Stocks Continue A Two-day Move Lower Look for a neutral-to-positive open for Monday. Oil prices and earnings/ outlook is in focus for the start. Oil prices back-off the 106-107 mark while stock prices continue moving lower. Oil prices ones again take the headlines as the WTI price hit the 107 mark then pulled-back to the $105 a barrel mark. With oil prices declining, stocks could reverse the two-day slide and recover some losses on Tuesday. Monday, March 7, 2011, 8:10 A.M. Eastern- updated- 9:37p ET
Oil Prices Surge Past The $104 Mark While Stocks Cool Down Look for a neutral flat open for Friday. Payroll jobs report, oil prices, and earnings/ outlook is in focus for the start, as well as Libya unrest. Oil prices continue to ramp up while stocks take a hit, but end well off session lows. Friday, March 4, 2011, 9:19 A.M. Eastern- updated- 10:18p ET > Sour day but stocks get slight gain for the week. > Oil price per barrel ramped up passing $104 mark. > Unemployment rate dropped to 8.9 percent in February. > American corporations added 192,000 new jobs in February.
Market Zooms Ahead Of Payroll Jobs Report Look for a neutral-to-positive open. Jobless new claims, Libya, oil prices, and earnings/ outlook is in focus for the start. Stocks ramp up ahead of the all important jobs report. Expectation of between 175,000 and 200,000 new jobs [report] could give the markets a lift higher or lower if expectations are not met. Thursday, March 3, 2011, 8:06 A.M. Eastern- updated- 4:51p ET > Nonfarm productivity increased by an annual rate of 2.6% in Q-4. > Jobless initial claims continue to improve indicating -chart- jobs market recovery.
Stocks Advance Led By Tech- Is This Bye-Bye Pullback Look for a neutral-to-negative open. Oil prices, earnings/ outlook is in focus for the start. Seems the one day pullback might be over as stocks reestablish positive ness. With payroll jobs report looming and jobless new claims up tomorrow, stocks could react with lots of momentum if data is disappointing. The jobless new claims chart shows a very good chance that Fridays payroll report should at least meet expectations, if not exceed most analysis. Wednesday, March 2, 2011, 8:11 A.M. Eastern- updated- 4:42p ET
Beginning Of A Correction Or Just Another Singularity Look for a neutral-to-positive open Tuesday. Bernanke and Earnings/ outlook in focus for the start as well as oil prices. Stocks drop Tuesday as some think a pullback is at hand, others feel just a quick mini correction. Traders sell U.S. stocks amid comments by Fed Chief Bernanke on sustained oil price build up. No matter what the outcome, most marketeers agree that after the pullback, stocks are destined for higher ground as the economy and Corporate America continue to churn out gains. Tuesday, March 1, 2011, 8:10 A.M. Eastern- updated- 5:53p ET
Broader Market Advances Led By Large Cap Stocks Look for a neutral-to-positive open Monday. Personal income and spending and earnings/ outlook in focus for the start as well as oil prices. Market rewards traders and investors with two months of gain. Monday, February 28, 2011, 8:10 A.M. Eastern- updated- 4:53p ET > Personal Income and Outlays report show personal income rose 1 percent in January.
Stocks Took A Mideast Respite But Now The Rally Is Back On Look for a neutral-to-positive open Friday. GDP, Mideast, and earnings/ outlook is in focus for the start as well as oil prices. It would appear that a brief rest for stocks is over and its back to the new normal- rally- really. The forecast continues to indicate caution with a probability that the Bias will recapture positive next week. Friday, February 25, 2011, 9:23 A.M. Eastern- updated- 5:17p ET
Oil Prices Ease Stocks Opt For A Mixed Close Look for a neutral-to-positive open for Thursday. Libya, oil prices, and earnings/ outlook is in focus for the start as well as initial jobless claims data this morning. Tech stocks ramp-up after a two day selling spree, while the broader market of stocks limited its losses. Thursday, February 24, 2011, 8:08 A.M. Eastern- updated- 4:48p ET > Last weeks initial claims dropped 22,000- chart continues to show job improvement.
Libya Unrest Deepens As Oil Prices Surge Taking Stocks As Collateral Damage Look for a neutral-to-positive open Wednesday. Middle East unrest and earnings/ outlook is in focus for the start. Today could be an important session for stocks. Stocks could be flat in today's session. All eyes are on how the close goes today. The Market Barometer afternoon model changed the Bias to neutral. Libya is the latest worry for traders as stocks continue moving lower from yesterdays sell off. Oil prices surge again causing more worries over the economic recovery. Wednesday, February 23, 2011, 8:10 A.M. Eastern- updated- 4:42p ET > The afternoon Market Barometer model changed the Bias to neutral. > More worries as Libya unrest spreads to other countries, taking oil prices higher and stocks lower.
Look for a negative open Tuesday. Mideast unrest escalates over the weekend-holiday and a pullback could be at hand. The much anticipated pullback, or correction, could be underway with the unrest in the Middle East being the catalyst. U.S. stocks have run-up so much over the last five months, that a rest is well overdue and appears to have begun today. Tuesday, February 22, 2011, 8:10 A.M. Eastern- updated- 9:32p ET
U.S. Equities Post Another Gain Ahead Of Long Holiday Weekend Look for a neutral flat open for Friday. Earnings/ outlook and oil prices are in focus for the start as well as Mideast unrest concerns. Traders opt to send stocks higher even ahead of a three-day weekend, as Monday markets in the U.S. will be closed for holiday. It's going to be very quiet in the U.S. markets for the next three days. In addition to the weekend, markets will be closed Monday, February 21, 2011 for Presidents day and to observe Washington's Birthday. Friday, February 18, 2011, 9:11 A.M. Eastern- updated- 10:02p ET > Markets in the U.S. are closed for holiday; will reopen Tuesday normal schedule.
Oil Prices Advance Amid Mideast Unrest, Taking Stocks Higher Look for a neutral-to-negative open Thursday. Consumer prices index (inflation data), jobless initial claims (unemployment), and earnings/ outlook is in focus for the start. Small cap stocks posted a nice gain, while mixed economical data and geopolitical worries saw the major averages eke out a small gain. Thursday, February 17, 2011, 8:10 A.M. Eastern- updated- 5:52p ET > Consumer inflation rose 0.4 percent in January. > The employment pictures (chart) for the U.S. economy continues to show improvement.
Stocks Ramp Up After A Days Rest Look for a neutral-to-positive open. Producer Price data and earnings/ outlook is in focus for the start. It came to no surprise to traders that the U.S. stock market ended well into positive territory today. Out of the last 32 sessions for the year, 26 were mixed-to-positive and only 6 negative. At this rate, unless a pullback gets in the way, we should see more records broke in the sessions to come. Somebody or a lot of somebody's are building in positions sending shares up consistently, day after day. Wednesday, February 16, 2011, 8:10 A.M. Eastern- updated- 5:48p ET > Manufacturing prices rose .8 percent in January, core prices rose 1/2 percent.
U.S. Stock Market Posts Negative For Only The Sixth Session Of The Year Look for a neutral-to-negative open Tuesday. Retail sales and earnings/ outlook is in focus for the start. With little news or data to move traders and investors, stocks meandered below the unchanged-line to end negative for only the sixth time this year. Tuesday, February 15, 2011, 8:10 A.M. Eastern- updated- 9:37p ET
Real Quiet; No Data, No Disaster To Fret About, Equals Flat Mixed Session Look for a flat open Monday. Earnings/ outlook is in focus for the start. Monday, February 14, 2011, 9:19 A.M. Eastern- updated- 4:57p ET
Mubarak Stepping Down Boost Stocks, Relieving The Markets Worry Of Instability Look for a neutral-to-negative open Friday. Egypt and earnings/ outlook is in focus for the start Friday. If the turmoil in Egypt calms down with the resignation of Mubarak and if earnings are no longer in the news- coming to the end of earnings season- what will the market focus on, is the question on the minds of traders and investors. With a lack of focus on the part of marketeers a pullback, even a small one, could be in the markets future. Friday, February 11, 2011, 9:00 A.M. Eastern- updated- 5:57p ET > Site server is a little slow, intermittently, responding to some requests.
U.S. Stock Market Closed Mixed As Egyptian President Steps Back, Not Down Look for a neutral-to-negative open Thursday. Cisco Systems earnings/ outlook and unemployment initial claims data is in focus for the start. Cisco Systems stock (CSCO) gets slammed Thursday on outlook and performance issues affecting the stock market slightly as the NASDAQ ends with a small gain. Mubarak says he will not run for the presidency but will remain for the transition. Mubarak is head of state as President and commander of the military. Thursday, February 10, 2011, 8:10 A.M. Eastern- updated- 4:54p ET > New claims for unemployment continues to improve indicating jobs recovery in the U.S.- chart.
Stock Market Averts A Sixth Negative Session, Ending Mixed Look for a neutral-to-negative open. Earnings/ outlook is in focus for the start as well as Egypt. Stocks avert a total negative session, end in mixed mode as Cisco reports a so-so quarter. Wednesday, February 9, 2011, 8:03 A.M. Eastern- updated- 4:42p ET > Cisco Systems outlook could pressure equities Thursday- could be the catalyst for a pullback. > Cisco Systems earnings mostly in line, shares under pressure. > Fed Chief Bernanke on the Hill to testify on the economy.
Ditto: Its Tuesday. Reason Enough For Stocks To Move Higher Look for a neutral flat open Tuesday. Earnings/ outlook is in focus for the start as well as continuing Egypt unrest. It would appear that nothing can get in the way of this continuing bull market. Stocks continue higher with the Dow in the lead. Even China's tightening of monetary policy has little effect over the steaming U.S. stock market. Earnings are good and traders might feel just fine in driving stocks higher with Blue Chips leading the way. Will the stock market rally continue? Tuesday, February 8, 2011, 8:10 A.M. Eastern- updated- 5:51p ET
Stocks Inches Forward As Tech Leads The Pack Look for a neutral-to-positive open Friday. Jobs report and earnings/ outlook is in focus for the start as well as the continuing unrest in Egypt. Appears that data had little effect over stocks today as traders continue to push equities higher. Friday, February 4, 2011, 8:10 A.M. Eastern- updated- 4:48p ET > Unemployment rate fell to 9 percent, beating expectations. > Economy job growth came in at 36,000 jobs in January, well below consensus. > Futures don't react much to the jobs report; set for a flat open. > Markets await the Jobs and unemployment-rate report; traders are expecting a healthy number of job creations and a slight decrease in the unemployment-rate.
Traders Send Stocks Higher After Bernanke And Ahead Of The Jobs Report Look for a neutral-to-negative open. Egypt unrest, jobless new claims, and earnings/ outlook is in focus for the start. On deck is the all important nonfarm payroll report that shows how many jobs were created or lost for the month and the unemployment-rate. The stock market is overdue for a pullback and if the data comes in short of expectations, stocks could tumble Friday. Remember, the BLI was downgraded to neutral in anticipation of a pullback. Thursday, February 3, 2011, 8:05 A.M. Eastern- updated- 5:56p ET > BLS released productivity and cost report for Q-4 2010 and revisions to Q-3 2010.
Stocks Flatten Out As Tension In Egypt Mount Look for a neutral-to-negative open. ADP report and earnings/ outlook is in focus for the start. With Egypt unrest on the rise and the big run-up of stocks yesterday, traders opt to wait for more data in the form of jobless new claims tomorrow and nonfarm payroll Friday. Wednesday, February 2, 2011, 8:41 A.M. Eastern- updated- 4:51p ET
Traders See Less Worry Over Egypt, Drive U.S. Stocks Higher Tuesday Look for a neutral-to-positive open Tuesday. Egypt and earnings/ outlook in focus for the start. Dow closed above the psychological 12,000 milestone Tuesday as Egyptian concerns recede. Tuesday, February 1, 2011, 8:05 A.M. Eastern- updated- 4:53p ET > Yesterdays Close model downgraded the BLI to neutral as a precautionary step.
U.S. Stocks Shrug Off Geopolitical Concerns, Ramp Higher With Oil Prices Look for a neutral-to-positive open Monday. Egypt and earnings/ outlook is in focus for the start Monday. The Barometer close model is changing, at 4:38p, ET, the BLI to neutral. The Market Barometer close model, today, changed the Barometer Leading Indicator (BLI) from positive back down to neutral. Model data is suggesting that the U.S. stock market could react to the unrest in Egypt negatively after traders put January aside. Monday, January 31, 2011, 8:05 A.M. Eastern- corrected- updated- 6:01p ET
Stocks Giveback One To Two Percent On Egypt Unrest Look for a neutral mixed open Friday. Earnings/ outlook is in focus for the start. The unrest in Egypt gets the blame for the pullback Friday. Stocks could continue pulling back as traders and investors build their cash position. Friday, January 28, 2011, 6:23 A.M. Eastern- updated 1/29/2011, 9:43a ET > The U.S. economy grew at a rate of 3.2 percent in the Fourth Quarter, 2010- chart. > GDP data on deck, could define today's trading. > Jobless new claims jump; depending on next weeks data, we still show [chart] a better [than last year] jobs market this year.
Stocks Continue Higher At A Snails Pace Look for a neutral-to-positive open. Earnings/ outlook is in focus for the start. Thursday, January 27, 2011, 6:14 A.M. Eastern- updated 9:48p
Dow Sees 12k Several Times But Ends Short Of The Psychological Milestone Look for a neutral-to-positive open. FOMC statement and earnings/ outlook in focus for the start.. Wednesday, January 26, 2011, 6:04 A.M. Eastern- updated 9:12p
Stocks Fell Early But Recovered To End Flat And Mixed Look for a neutral-to-negative open Tuesday. Earnings/ outlook is in focus for the start as well as the state of the union. Tuesday, January 25, 2011, 7:46 A.M. Eastern- updated 9:18p
Stocks Continue Ramping Up On Earnings And Recovery Hope, Nearing Dow 12,000 Look for a neutral flat open Monday, could turn mixed. Earnings/ outlook is in focus for the start as well as FOMC. Monday, January 24, 2011, 6:14 A.M. Eastern- updated 8:48p
Tech gets trimmed while broader market gains Look for a neutral-to-positive open for Friday. Earnings/ outlook is in focus for the start. Friday, January 21, 2011, 9:05 A.M. Eastern- updated 8:47p
Tech Stocks Continue To Sell Off, Broader Market Ended Flat Look for a neutral-to-negative open Thursday. Jobless new claims and earnings/ outlook is in focus for the start. Thursday, January 20, 2011, 9:05 A.M. Eastern- updated 9:12p > Midday: Stocks continue pulling back with tech leading the way. > Initial jobless claims chart continues to point to jobs recovery this year.
Market Pulls Back After Weeks Of Rallying Look for a neutral flat open Wednesday. Tech could lead the market higher in the early going. Earnings/ outlook is in focus for the start as well as housing data. Wednesday, January 19, 2011, 9:05 A.M. Eastern- updated 3:00p- corrected > Thanks Alex. Alex pointed out that we have been publishing with the incorrect year- this is 2011 not 2010. The Home Page Date Template was updated to the correct year. Thanks again Alex...
Blue Chips And Tech Advance, The Broader Market Ended Flat Look for a neutral-to-negative open Tuesday; could turn mixed. Earnings/ outlook is in focus for the start as well as Apple's stock. IBM and Apple earnings is sure to spark a ramp-up in tomorrows market as both beat estimates handedly. Tuesday, January 18, 2011, 8:59 A.M. Eastern- updated 4:39p- corrected
Earnings Take Hold Of Stocks, Sending Them Higher For A Second Week Of The Year Look for a neutral-to-negative open Friday. Earnings/ outlook and consumer price (inflation) report is in focus for the start as well as retail sales data. Starting the year off right as stocks continue the march higher and looking for more gain in the weeks to come. Friday, January 14, 2011, 8:55 A.M. Eastern- updated 4:45p- corrected > Markets in the U.S. will be closed Monday to observe Martin Luther Kink, Jr. holiday; markets will reopen Tuesday, normal schedule. > Retail sales rose again in December as consumers continue to buy stuff, helping the economic recovery. > Headline CPI: Gas prices inflated consumer prices in December- food prices helped. > JPMorgan beat expectations; doesn't move Futures; stock lower in pre market.
Market Pulls Back Slightly, Awaiting More Earnings Results Look for a neutral flat open. Economic data: Jobless new claims; producer prices; trade deficit. Earnings/ outlook is also in focus for the start. Thursday, January 13, 2011, 8:55 A.M. Eastern- updated 4:47p- corrected > Producer prices ramped up 1.1 percent in December. > Unemployment new claims jump but still within trend-lower channel- see chart.
Lessening Of Europe Debt Concerns Help Stocks Higher Look for a neutral-to-positive open. Earnings/ outlook is in focus for the start. The stock market ramped up Wednesday after weeks of timid performance. Economic recovery and job creation as well as less worry over Europe's debt problems helped move stocks higher Wednesday. Wednesday, January 12, 2011, 8:59 A.M. Eastern- updated 4:50p- corrected
Stocks Continue Their Crawl Higher Look for a neutral-to-positive open Tuesday. Earnings/ outlook is in focus for the start. Tuesday, January 11, 2011, 8:58 A.M. Eastern- corrected 9:03a- updated 2:56p- corrected
Stocks Close Mixed Going Into Earnings Season Look for a neutral-to-negative open Monday. M&A and earnings/ outlook is in focus for the start. Stocks go flat, end mixed, as traders brace for earnings season to get underway with Alcoa after the close. Monday, January 10, 2011, 8:55 A.M. Eastern- updated 4:43p- corrected
Stocks Settle In For A Slight Loss Friday But Gain For The Week Look for a neutral flat open for Friday, could turn mixed. Nonfarm jobs report and earnings/ outlook is in focus for the start. Friday, January 7, 2011, 8:57 A.M. Eastern- updated 4:36p- corrected > Bernanke: Jobs recovery back to normalcy could take years. > Public corporations added 103,000 jobs in December, less than economists had expected. > Unemployment rate drops to 9.4 percent, beating expectations.
Mixed Market As Traders Await Jobs Data Look for a neutral-to-positive open Thursday. Jobless initial claims data and earnings/ outlook is in focus for the start Thursday. Friday could be a big day for the markets, as the nonfarm payroll report for December will be released in the pre market and could cause significant volatility. Thursday, January 6, 2011, 8:55 A.M. Eastern- updated 4:41p- corrected > Unemployment new claims continues to improve even though last weeks number increased- see chart.
Stocks Continue Mondays Upward Momentum On Surprisingly Good Data Look for a neutral flat open for Wednesday. ADP jobs report and earnings/ outlook is in focus for the start as well as more jobs data tomorrow and Friday. Remainder of the week is so dependent on jobs that it could spark more rally or a pullback, or both. The Market Barometer Forecast model is showing metrics ready to trigger a Forecast change to positive, in the near future, if positive momentum continues. Wednesday, January 5, 2011, 8:55 A.M. Eastern- updated 9:33p- corrected > As Corporate budgets kick in this year, expect the jobs market to ramp up. > ADP jobs report unexpectedly ramps up; muted reaction from Futures market.
Tech And The Broader Market Gave Back Some Of Yesterdays Gain Look for a neutral-to-positive open Tuesday, could turn mixed. Earnings/ outlook is in focus for the start as well as oil prices. Stocks bounce back from midday slump ending the second session mixed. Tuesday, January 4, 2011, 8:55 A.M. Eastern- updated 4:57p- corrected
Global Rally Sparks U.S. Stocks To Higher Ground, Helped By Data Look for a positive start Monday. Global markets rally, earnings/ outlook is in focus for the start as well as payroll jobs report this week and traders and analysts are looking for a positive 2011. ISM manufacturing report and global markets help send U.S. stocks higher Monday, bringing in the new year. Monday, January 3, 2011, 8:53 A.M. Eastern- updated 4:40p- corrected > ISM reported manufacturing expanded in December, beating estimates.
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