www.Market-Barometer.com forecasting the U.S. Stock Market

DAILY STOCK MARKET FORECAST

"Today's stock market forecast"

SEARCH    MARKETS    NEWS    INVESTING

Market Outlook is a recap of the current and future condition of the U.S. stock market.

Indicates short-term U.S. equity market (S&P 500) forecast.

Indicates the strength of the forecast; it's a forecast bias, not a daily market bias.

Indicates long-term U.S. equity market (S&P 500) forecast.

Extended Forecast is a seven week forecast of the U.S. stock market.

Nervous Rescue Admin

Market Watch

Market Data/graph

 

Forecast

Market Outlook

Extended Forecast

Stock Market Quote

The Memo

 

Charts

Leading Indicator

Barometer Chart

Performance

 

Tools

QuoteStream

Portfolio Tracker

 

Investing

Morning Update

Stocks to Watch

 

News/Articles

Archives

Investor Concerns

 

Investor Concerns:

How to begin DRIP investing.

How to invest

Investing 101 for beginners

How to make a budget

Economy added 211,000 jobs.

Unemployment Rate 4.4 percent.

GDP +1.2 percent.

GDP chart 1987 to 2017.

Weekly Jobless Report.

How to tell where the market is going.

 

STOCK MARKET ARTICLES

 
 
 

Head Fake Rally of November and December 2008

 
 

 

Up and down plunging markets, the volatile sessions continue

Back in early November 2008, Barometer models indicated that things were getting better with a swift rally that looked for real.

 

Jacksonville Jaguars Laptop Carry Case,Women's Cleveland Browns Nike Orange Performance Tank Top,Houston Texans J New England Patriots Jerseys Wholesale.J. Watt 24" x 18" Hero Player Poster.cheap nfl caps 50,cheap nfl accessories in spanish,Dallas Cowboys Glass Dip Bowl with Charm,Toddler San Francisco 49ers Gray Fan Gear Primary Logo Twill Pullover Hoodie New England Jerseys Cheap.Women's Philadelphia Eagles Majestic Midnight Green Game Day V-Neck T-Shirt,Atlanta Falcons Majestic Red Big & Tall Critical Victory T-Shirt,Eagles Wings Arizona Cardinals Woven Silk Tie.Men's Seattle Seahawks Junk Food Gray Huddle Henley Tri-Blend Long Sleeve T-Shirt,Men's San Francisco 49ers Majestic Scarlet Big & Tall Field Classic Synthetic Cool Base Polo,Women's Baltimore Ravens G-III 4Her by Carl Banks Purple Packable Polyfill Jacket.Indianapolis Colts Super Stripe Acrylic Cut License Plate,Antigua New York Jets Steel Executive Crew Sweater - Green http://www.nepatriotsjerseys.com.Men's Seattle Seahawks New Era Black Solid Cuffed Knit Hat,Mens New York Giants Harry Carson Mitchell & Ness Royal Blue Replica Retired Player Jersey New England Jerseys On Sale.New Era New York Giants Men's Illusion 59FIFTY Structured Fitted Hat,Washington Redskins Small Over Large Mega License Plate Frame,New Orleans Saints Vintage Leather Belt - Brown.Riddell New Orleans Saints Gold Full Size Authentic Helmet,Infant Los Angeles Rams Navy Combined Logo T-Shirt,Mens Denver Broncos Nike Navy Blue KO Chain Fleece Pullover Performance Hoodie

But the financial crises had all the look and feel of a very deep problem that could last for some time.

 

Investors and traders believed that which was evident with the up and down plunging markets with minutes to go in these volatile sessions.

 

The markets have taken some very sharp losses--  S&P 500 chart--  and you would think we could muster a little upside movement.

 

No doubt that we will see a rally or two between now and the bottom of this bear market.  I guess if you're in it for the long haul, these are some good prices if you have the wherewithal to add Dollars at this stage.

 

The Barometer Leading Indicator (BLI) is supposed to lead the forecast.  But back in early November 2008, a head fake by marketeers got the BLI off onto a positive stance that was short-lived.

 

The equity market got real bullish for a time.  The BLI and Bias was positive, with a forecast turning caution from negative.

 

With a Santa rally almost guaranteed, investors saw the rally Peter out, so by December 23, 2008 the BLI and Bias was turned back to neutral.

 

Well Christmas came and went, New Years came and went, and stocks in the U.S., not to mention almost throughout the entire Glob, went belly-up and continue to drop.

 

All in all, things did become a little more predictable, in that, nothing was predictable other than you could predict a sliding stock market with nearly pinpoint accuracy.

 

There is some evidence Market Barometer channel evidence, that suggests we may be entering a bottom-building process and that we could see a real turnaround somewhere down the road.

 

God forbid that we should get anymore real bad news.  Remember.  Forecasts are based on fundamentals, news can sway markets from side to side, lets hope the fundamentals eventually take over.

 

February, 2009

updated

 

Back to index

 

 

 +

If you aren't a seasoned investor, you may not know how to invest in volatile markets.  You even might be new  to investing.  If so, you might find this investing article helpful.  It's called Investing in the stock market for beginners, a 101 article.

 

 

Also another way to play the market for some investors is to buy and sell shares directly through a company stock purchase plan.  This bypasses brokerage firms and you save money.  The article is called Dividend Reinvestment Plan, or DRIP.

 

Jobless claims chart

Jobless initial claims chart

S&P 500 Chart: False rally off of November low

S&P 500 color coded forecast chart for March 9, 2009

The S&P 500 shown in the chart indicates a bottom if you were to look at it in late November 2008.  But as you can see the rally lasted long enough to get the Barometer models to show CAUTION and then selling took off. Back to article.

 

The BLI is an advance indicator that leads the forecast:

Showing positive, signals an early indication that the stock market could turn from its negative stance to a positive one. On the other hand, showing negative, warns that the stock market could move into a negative stance.

 

A neutral shows the Barometer models are in-between indications;  the indecision neutral position normally doesn't last more than a couple of sessions before settling in on a positive or negative.

 

The BLI is very accurate in showing market changes before a forecast change and can be used as an early indication of market turnaround.  Return back to article.

 

Market Barometer Leading Indicator chart:

Market Barometer leading indicator chart- March 9, 2009 rally

This chart is a graph of three metrics from the models.  The chart shows channels developing.  This is how the models see the U.S. stock market, the S&P 500 in particular.  For more information on this chart go to the Barometer Leading Indicator study for more details.  Back to the article.

 

Unemployment new claims chart as of February 2009

Initial Jobless Claims chart- September 2007 to March 2009

Back to article

 

Markets Home Page   Investing Home Page   News Home Page   Barometer home Page

Buy/Sell/Hold your stock   Barometer Forecast   Technical Analysis   Stock Market Forecast   Stock Quote

 

 +
 
2017 Market-Barometer.com GDS. All Rights Reserved.
Last modified: 3/ 8/2017

Home    Advertising    Buy Used Computer Parts    Registration Info    Feedback    Site Index    About us    Terms of Use    Privacy Policy    ARCHIVES

Market Barometer,  Market-Barometer.com,  opinions and statements are not recommendations to buy or sell any financial instrument, including stocks.  Market Barometer opinions and statements should be used to educate and self-judge the condition of the general market place.  By using the site you agree to the terms of use and our privacy policy.