www.Market-Barometer.com forecasting the U.S. Stock Market

DAILY STOCK MARKET FORECAST

"Today's stock market forecast"

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Market Outlook is a recap of the current and future condition of the U.S. stock market.

Indicates short-term U.S. equity market (S&P 500) forecast.

Indicates the strength of the forecast; it's a forecast bias, not a daily market bias.

Indicates long-term U.S. equity market (S&P 500) forecast.

Extended Forecast is a seven week forecast of the U.S. stock market.

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Economy added 211,000 jobs.

Unemployment Rate 4.4 percent.

GDP +1.4 percent.

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How to tell where the market is going.

Barometer Chart as of December 23, 2008

12-23-2008 Stock Market Forecast Barometer Chart

Market Barometer Leading Indicator chart.  Data from the models populate the charts to show a visual of how the models see the U.S. stock market.

This particular chart is a channel chart that is used to find tops and bottoms as well as identifying performance issues.

Back to original study

  The red arrow points to a negative channel established in December 2007.  In October 2008 the Barometer-plot (yellow line) broke through the lower channel boundary (second white line, top to bottom) into a new channel that was established on November 20, 2008 when the plot bounced off the third boundary (third white line).

This new channel (pointed to by the blue arrow) will become either a bottom building channel OR could turn into another negative channel.

It could take weeks to months to establish a bottom or if it breaks through that third white line it would indicate more negativity in the stock market.

The forecast works off these model-metrics and when and if the market gets worse or better it is reflected in the forecast- the bug, located upper left corner on all public pages.

This particular chart is updated daily but not published on the website routinely, for security reasons.  However, there is a similar flash chart that is displayed daily, located in the Market Snapshot section.

 

   
 
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Last modified: 3/ 8/2017

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