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After yesterdays sell off, investors bid shares higher recovering some lost
ground
What's in
a day when stocks can turn and ramp up when almost nothing has changed from day
to day other than the Treasury auction. Well they did today after
yesterdays selling leaving the
major averages higher by 1-1/2 percent.
Thursday, May 28, 2009
Unable to hold positive territory, GM and DJIA drags market lower as forecast
bias is downgraded
Afternoon model downgrades the forecast-bias to
negative. Data continues to show stocks slipping further, day-by-day,
leaving the way open for a correction. Downgrade of the bias sets the
stage for a forecast downgrade to caution as early as Thursday. A caution
indicates that chances are increasing that there will be further slip in stocks.
Model data Leading Indicator
"updated" chart shows the Bulls fighting with the Bears over where
this market is to go. It would take several positive days to get out of
this.
A different look at the Leading Indicator chart
shows that this market is prepared to move lower if we don't see some real
improvement.
Wednesday, May 27, 2009
U.S.
stock market gets back on track with an after holiday rally
U.S. shares rally Tuesday after long holiday weekend
with the
DJIA in triple digits and the market higher by
2 to 3 percent. We averted a downgrade of the
forecast-bias today when the stock market turned from last weeks
mostly negative sentiment, to this weeks improved outlook, with consumer
confidence picking-up also contributed to the advance.
Tuesday, May 26, 2009
Sour day
for Bulls as correction or a pullback gets underway
Can't have stocks go straight up as they just might
come straight down. Data suggests a correction but a more deeper pullback
can't be ruled out. The afternoon model run
downgraded the Leading Indicator to negative as data suggests more
down days to come. The major indices posted a 1.7 percent loss Thursday.
Unemployment chart shows new claims possibly
have peaked indicating that- just maybe- the worst is over. It could take
months or years before claims reset back to pre crises levels.
Thursday, May 21, 2009
Model
data shows BLI and Forecast-Bias on the verge of downgrade
Stocks turned for the worse Wednesday, late in the
session, as investors see little reason to bid shares higher. If Thursday
is negative, watch for downgrades of both the Barometer Leading Indicator and
the Forecast-Bias.
The major indexes fell Wednesday by 1/2 percent, averaged. An
updated Leading Indicator chart shows that unless we get real
positive soon, we will be looking at a probable pullback OR sideways moving
market.
Wednesday, May 20, 2009
Optimism
returns to Wall Street after selling spree last week
A slight pullback last week sees the rally takeoff
this week with the
major indexes reporting 2 to 3 percent gain.
Bad enough last week that the models, Saturday,
downgraded the Leading Indicator to neutral as
it looked iffy for today weather stocks could continue the upward surge of past
months. The forecast continues at positive with a neutral BLI and Bias.
Monday, May 18, 2009
Barometer Leading Indicator- BLI- was changed to neutral over the weekend
Fridays poor performance, along with days of neutral to negative performance of
stocks, has led the way for the Barometer Leading Indicator (BLI) to be
downgraded to neutral. This means that conditions continue to get weaker
with a probability of further downgrades.
The
leading Indicator detail chart shows the degradation. If we
don't see a continuation of the rally soon (early next week) a deeper slide of
stocks (S&P 500) is probable.
Saturday, May 16, 2009
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